As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Reserved app 1 at 50.0% in #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Reserved app 1, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Reserved app 1 is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserved app 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Reserved app 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Reserved app 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Reserved app 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Reserved app 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Muse from Meta | 44¢ | 44.5% | +31.0 pts | $753 | 39.7% |
| Google Gemini | 25¢ | 25.4% | +12.4 pts | $27 | 1.4% |
| Capital One Mobile | 23¢ | 23.0% | +9.5 pts | $1.1K | 57.8% |
| Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace | 14¢ | 13.5% | — | $7 | 0.4% |
| ChatGPT | 12¢ | 12.5% | -1.0 pts | $7 | 0.4% |
| TikTok Pro - Events | 6¢ | 6.0% | -7.5 pts | $7 | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 7 | $3 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 7 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Reserved app 1 at 50.0%. Next is Reserved app 2 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-30?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Reserved app 1, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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