As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Shadowrocket at 65.5% in #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Shadowrocket, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.0 pts.
Shadowrocket is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowrocket | 66¢ | 65.5% | -7.0 pts | $270 | 11.8% |
| App 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| App 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| App 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| App 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| App 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| App 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| HotSchedules | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $13 | 0.6% |
| play_music_theory | 5¢ | 5.5% | -7.5 pts | $30 | 1.3% |
| Deck-Man: Cassette Player | 3¢ | 2.9% | -1.1 pts | $13 | 0.6% |
| AnkiMobile Flashcards | 2¢ | 2.2% | -10.8 pts | $1.3K | 57.1% |
| Procreate Pocket | 1¢ | 0.7% | -12.3 pts | $655 | 28.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 49¢ (bid 41¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 72 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Superficial-Essay | Yes | 72 | $47 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 32 | $11 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 22 | $8 |
| Frozen-Stockintrade | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Large-Octet | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk | No | 20 | $7 |
| 0x57be0f3f… | No | 20 | $7 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 13 | $5 |
| Watery-Meme | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.7% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.8% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Shadowrocket at 65.5%. Next is App 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/1-paid-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-on-october-30?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Shadowrocket, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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