As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Rihanna at 76.5% in #2 Spotify Artist in October? — $52.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Rihanna, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: -2.0 pts.
Since October 02, 2026, Rihanna has traded between 18.5% and 79.5%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 68.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 68.0% |
Rihanna is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rihanna | 76¢ | 76.5% | -4.0 pts | $29.3K | 55.5% |
| Artist B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| The Weeknd | 15¢ | 15.0% | -4.5 pts | $19.0K | 35.9% |
| Bruno Mars | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $627 | 1.2% |
| Michael Jackson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $361 | 0.7% |
| Bad Bunny | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $351 | 0.7% |
| Shakira | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $351 | 0.7% |
| Taylor Swift | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $413 | 0.8% |
| Drake | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $352 | 0.7% |
| Billie Eilish | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $351 | 0.7% |
| Lady Gaga | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $281 | 0.5% |
| Ariana Grande | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $281 | 0.5% |
| Ed Sheeran | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $349 | 0.7% |
| Coldplay | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $281 | 0.5% |
| Justin Bieber | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $538 | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$52.9K has been traded on this event in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,358 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,358 | $1.3K |
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 3,185 | $2.4K |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 2,020 | $1.5K |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 535 | $409 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 312 | $73 |
| Evergreen-Grill | No | 164 | $39 |
| Perfect-Mistake | Yes | 127 | $97 |
| Required-Horn | No | 112 | $26 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 75 | $18 |
| Hearty-Speaking | Yes | 71 | $55 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.6% | $47 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.1% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 61.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Rihanna at 76.5%. Next is Artist B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-artist-in-october-20261031?via=bro
$52.9K in total volume, with $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Rihanna, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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