As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Drew Mestemaker at 34.1% in 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick — $25.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Drew Mestemaker, is priced at 34.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.7 pts; past week: +5.9 pts; past month: +28.4 pts.
Since May 04, 2026, Drew Mestemaker has traded between 2.5% and 48.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 33.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 29.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 21.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 31.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 33.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 33.5% |
Drew Mestemaker is favored at 34.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 34¢ | 34.1% | +0.7 pts | $2.3K | 9.0% |
| Duce Robinson | 33¢ | 33.5% | +7.0 pts | $84 | 0.3% |
| Ellis Robinson IV | 20¢ | 19.6% | — | $799 | 3.1% |
| CJ Carr | 12¢ | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.5K | 9.7% |
| Arch Manning | 10¢ | 9.5% | -0.5 pts | $12.6K | 49.7% |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 9¢ | 8.6% | — | $444 | 1.7% |
| Darian Mensah | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $811 | 3.2% |
| Dylan Stewart | 6¢ | 5.8% | — | $135 | 0.5% |
| Jordan Seaton | 6¢ | 5.8% | — | $200 | 0.8% |
| Sam Leavitt | 6¢ | 5.8% | — | $57 | 0.2% |
| Byrum Brown | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.2 pts | $824 | 3.2% |
| LaNorris Sellers | 5¢ | 4.9% | — | $191 | 0.8% |
| David Stone | 5¢ | 4.5% | — | $368 | 1.4% |
| Brendan Sorsby | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $82 | 0.3% |
| Dante Moore | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.1 pts | $2.5K | 9.9% |
| Julian Sayin | 4¢ | 3.8% | — | $293 | 1.2% |
| Leonard Moore | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $67 | 0.3% |
| John Mateer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 4.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 89 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 09, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 222 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 222 | $146 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 173 | $114 |
| Expensive-Struggle | No | 150 | $99 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 150 | $51 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | Yes | 125 | $43 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 120 | $41 |
| Punctual-Sand | Yes | 105 | $36 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 79 | $27 |
| Runny-Greatgrandfather | No | 40 | $26 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 31 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 09:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.6% | $72 |
| Oct 21, 06:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $7 |
| Oct 17, 04:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 04:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $93 |
| Oct 17, 04:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 03:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 01:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 05:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.2% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 03:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Drew Mestemaker at 34.1%. Next is Duce Robinson at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2027-pro-football-draft-1st-overall-pick?via=bro
$25.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 89 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 09, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Drew Mestemaker, priced at 34.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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