As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.5+ receiving TDs at 69.5% in Pro Football: A.J. Brown 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns — $8.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3.5+ receiving TDs, is priced at 69.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -13.5 pts; past month: +8.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 3.5+ receiving TDs has traded between 44.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 69.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
3.5+ receiving TDs is favored at 69.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5+ receiving TDs | 70¢ | 69.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 14.6% |
| 5.5+ receiving TDs | 43¢ | 43.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K | 18.5% |
| 7.5+ receiving TDs | 32¢ | 31.5% | +4.0 pts | $630 | 7.8% |
| 9.5+ receiving TDs | 20¢ | 19.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.1K | 25.9% |
| 11.5+ receiving TDs | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $2.7K | 33.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 51¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.0K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns A.J. Brown records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If A.J. Brown does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns A.J. Brown recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 110 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny-Address | Yes | 110 | $76 |
| Velvety-Locket-Joint | Yes | 100 | $70 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 89 | $27 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 89 | $62 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 50 | $15 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 46 | $14 |
| Horrible-Video | No | 44 | $13 |
| Smug-Snowman | No | 20 | $6 |
| 0x57c8c27f… | No | 20 | $6 |
| Sentimental-Contagion | No | 20 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.4% | $26 |
| Oct 19, 04:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 11:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $7 |
| Oct 17, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 04:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $14 |
| Oct 16, 06:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.4% | $35 |
| Oct 16, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.3% | $21 |
| Oct 16, 09:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 15, 09:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.5+ receiving TDs at 69.5%. Next is 5.5+ receiving TDs at 43.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/aj-brown-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$8.0K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
3.5+ receiving TDs, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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