As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $4.00-$4.50T at 35.0% in Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026? — $44.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $4.00-$4.50T, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -17.5 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, $4.00-$4.50T has traded between 35.0% and 59.0%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 35.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 35.0% |
$4.00-$4.50T is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4.00-$4.50T | 35¢ | 35.0% | -6.0 pts | $14.7K | 33.1% |
| $3.50-$4.00T | 28¢ | 27.9% | -20.2 pts | $11.7K | 26.2% |
| $4.50-$5.00T | 4¢ | 4.1% | -1.1 pts | $12.3K | 27.7% |
| <$3.50T | 1¢ | 0.6% | -2.8 pts | $1.4K | 3.2% |
| $5.00-$5.50T | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.4K | 3.2% |
| $5.50-$6.00T | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.2K | 5.0% |
| $6.00T+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $734 | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$44.5K has been traded on this event in total, $3.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,282 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,282 | $833 |
| Rubbery-Churn | Yes | 951 | $333 |
| Impure-Township | No | 863 | $561 |
| Practical-Advent | Yes | 580 | $203 |
| Small-Fellow-Mandolin | No | 225 | $146 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 154 | $54 |
| Sunny-Osprey-Pompom | Yes | 150 | $52 |
| Lonely-Pronunciation-Jewellery | Yes | 114 | $40 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 100 | $35 |
| Thoughtful-Recess | Yes | 89 | $31 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.2% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.3% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.5% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 64.4% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $4.00-$4.50T at 35.0%. Next is $3.50-$4.00T at 27.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alphabets-market-cap-end-of-october-2026?via=bro
$44.5K in total volume, with $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
$4.00-$4.50T, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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