Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 50.0% in Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? — $15.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $3.8K.
Leading outcome
Yes
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +15.0 pts
Yes50.0%
No50.0%
Bid
45¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
10¢
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Range since October 22, 2026: 35.0% – 49.0% · Opened at 40.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
Category
PHP, Tech, hack, PHP2Shell
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$15.5K
Volume (24h)
$3.8K
Liquidity
$928
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 50.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +15.0 pts.

Since October 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 35.0% and 49.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 49.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes50¢50.0%+15.0 pts$15.5K100.0%
No50¢50.0%-15.0 pts$15.5K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$15.5K has been traded on this event in total, $3.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a critical vulnerability in PHP is first publicly disclosed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and meets all requirements below by that deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Public disclosure means publicly available information sufficient to identify the specific vulnerability, whether through an official advisory, researcher publication, leak, or public code commit. A general warning about an unspecified vulnerability will not alone qualify. A vulnerability publicly disclosed before market creation will not qualify merely because it receives a CVE identifier or qualifying score during the market period. A qualifying vulnerability must affect PHP itself (the PHP interpreter and the extensions bundled in the official php-src source code), must be assigned a publicly available CVE identifier, and must receive a publicly published CVSS base score of 9.0 or higher (under any CVSS version) from either the PHP project or the US National Vulnerability Database (NVD). Vulnerabilities affecting only unsupported PHP versions or optional bundled extensions will qualify if they otherwise meet these requirements. Extensions distributed separately from php-src (for example, through PECL) will not qualify. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,329 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pink-CanalYes1,329$664
Awesome-AvailabilityYes1,122$561
Frivolous-FictionNo678$339
Watchful-BassoonNo400$200
Weird-FreedomNo370$185
Small-PompomNo320$160
Harmful-Raincoat-GodfatherNo295$148
Unsightly-YoungYes239$120
Bossy-Birdcage-PeriodNo214$107
Belated-GlueNo202$101

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $149 at 21.9%BUY No — $30 at 18.3%SELL Yes — $28 at 56.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:15 PM ETNoSELL44.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:15 PM ETYesBUY56.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:15 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:12 PM ETNoBUY46.0%$23
Oct 24, 02:11 PM ETYesSELL56.0%$28
Oct 24, 01:53 PM ETNoBUY21.9%$149
Oct 24, 12:24 PM ETYesSELL56.0%$3
Oct 24, 08:45 AM ETYesSELL65.0%$17
Oct 24, 08:45 AM ETNoSELL19.0%$3
Oct 24, 08:45 AM ETYesSELL79.0%$4

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 50.0%. Next is No at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-critical-php-security-flaw-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026??

$15.5K in total volume, with $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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