As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 50.0% in Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? — $15.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +15.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 35.0% and 49.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 49.0%.
Yes is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50¢ | 50.0% | +15.0 pts | $15.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 50¢ | 50.0% | -15.0 pts | $15.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.5K has been traded on this event in total, $3.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a critical vulnerability in PHP is first publicly disclosed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and meets all requirements below by that deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Public disclosure means publicly available information sufficient to identify the specific vulnerability, whether through an official advisory, researcher publication, leak, or public code commit. A general warning about an unspecified vulnerability will not alone qualify. A vulnerability publicly disclosed before market creation will not qualify merely because it receives a CVE identifier or qualifying score during the market period. A qualifying vulnerability must affect PHP itself (the PHP interpreter and the extensions bundled in the official php-src source code), must be assigned a publicly available CVE identifier, and must receive a publicly published CVSS base score of 9.0 or higher (under any CVSS version) from either the PHP project or the US National Vulnerability Database (NVD). Vulnerabilities affecting only unsupported PHP versions or optional bundled extensions will qualify if they otherwise meet these requirements. Extensions distributed separately from php-src (for example, through PECL) will not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,329 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Canal | Yes | 1,329 | $664 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,122 | $561 |
| Frivolous-Fiction | No | 678 | $339 |
| Watchful-Bassoon | No | 400 | $200 |
| Weird-Freedom | No | 370 | $185 |
| Small-Pompom | No | 320 | $160 |
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | No | 295 | $148 |
| Unsightly-Young | Yes | 239 | $120 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | No | 214 | $107 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 202 | $101 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 02:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.9% | $149 |
| Oct 24, 12:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 08:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 50.0%. Next is No at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-critical-php-security-flaw-in-2026?via=bro
$15.5K in total volume, with $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.