As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.5% in Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30? — $2.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.5%.
Since October 20, 2026, No has traded between 89.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
No is favored at 91.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 91.5% | — | $2.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $2.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.6K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic officially announces a commitment to contribute shares of Anthropic to Trump Accounts by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump Accounts refers to the federal tax-advantaged investment accounts for American children created under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which are seeded with a $1,000 government contribution for children born from 2025 through 2028. A commitment to contribute any amount of Anthropic shares or other equity in Anthropic to Trump Accounts will qualify, including shares held by the Anthropic Public Benefit Fund. Commitments to contribute only cash will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be issued by Anthropic, or by an Anthropic executive in a public statement, and must clearly and unambiguously communicate that Anthropic has committed to make such a contribution. A commitment will qualify even if it is subject to stockholder, regulatory, or other approvals. Statements expressing interest in, consideration of, or openness to such a contribution will not qualify. Statements made solely by third parties, including government officials or other companies, will not qualify unless confirmed by Anthropic. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is later modified, withdrawn, or ever fulfilled. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 571 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genuine-Segment | No | 571 | $522 |
| Euphoric-Flan | Yes | 463 | $39 |
| Vital-Everybody | No | 222 | $203 |
| Babyish-Starboard | Yes | 100 | $8 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 83 | $7 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 42 | $4 |
| Sunny-Smoking | Yes | 34 | $3 |
| 0x46299616… | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Wet-Event | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Puzzled-Crumb | Yes | 17 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 01:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $92 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $165 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.5%. Next is Yes at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-commits-shares-to-trump-accounts-by-november-30?via=bro
$2.6K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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