Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Xiaomi at 59.4% in Best Chinese AI Company end of October? — $317.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $20.7K.
Leading outcome
Xiaomi
59%
A 59.4% price implies roughly a 59-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +7.5 pts7D −4.2 pts30D +58.1 pts
Xiaomi59.4%
Other50.0%
Bid
57¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 13, 2026: 0.2% – 60.0% · Opened at 5.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Category
AI, Tech, China, Moonshot, AI Rankings, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Total volume
$317.4K
Volume (24h)
$20.7K
Liquidity
$57.5K
Markets
25
Leading outcome
Xiaomi — 59.4%
Resolution source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Xiaomi, is priced at 59.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts; past week: -4.2 pts; past month: +58.1 pts.

Since August 13, 2026, Xiaomi has traded between 0.2% and 60.0%. It opened at 5.0% and last traded at 44.9%.

DayClose
Oct 14, 202657.2%
Oct 15, 202658.1%
Oct 16, 202660.0%
Oct 18, 202657.6%
Oct 19, 202658.7%
Oct 20, 202658.5%
Oct 23, 202644.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Xiaomi is favored at 59.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Xiaomi59¢59.4%+7.5 pts$46.0K14.3%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Moonshot29¢29.0%-8.5 pts$61.2K18.9%
Alibaba8¢8.5%—$70.7K21.9%
Z.ai1¢1.4%+0.1 pts$27.9K8.7%
Tencent1¢0.5%+0.2 pts$19.9K6.2%
Baidu0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$17.4K5.4%
DeepSeek0¢0.4%-0.2 pts$19.8K6.1%
ByteDance0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$19.2K5.9%
MiniMax0¢0.4%—$21.5K6.7%
Meituan0¢0.1%—$7.2K2.2%
StepFun0¢0.1%—$12.0K3.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$317.4K has been traded on this event in total, $20.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 25 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 15,547 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No15,547$6.3K
Ragged-ThongsYes2,508$1.5K
Eminent-AccordionYes1,102$655
Queasy-AirshipYes1,000$594
Youthful-Point-AnginaYes981$583
All-CalculatorYes901$535
Accomplished-RefrigeratorYes886$526
Demanding-CityYes823$489
Silver-Eyebrows-InstructionYes780$464
Mean-Recruit-IdeaYes748$445

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $250 at 27.3%SELL Yes — $127 at 20.4%BUY Yes — $83 at 57.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:36 PM ETYesBUY30.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETYesSELL30.4%$61
Oct 24, 04:45 PM ETNoSELL40.7%$4
Oct 24, 04:06 PM ETYesSELL7.0%$0
Oct 24, 03:59 PM ETYesSELL7.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:40 PM ETYesBUY35.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:40 PM ETNoBUY92.0%$5
Oct 24, 03:40 PM ETNoBUY44.7%$2
Oct 24, 03:11 PM ETYesBUY58.2%$32
Oct 24, 03:08 PM ETYesBUY57.5%$83

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Best Chinese AI Company end of October??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Xiaomi at 59.4%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Best Chinese AI Company end of October??

$317.4K in total volume, with $20.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 25 markets.

When does Best Chinese AI Company end of October? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control.

What is the most likely outcome of Best Chinese AI Company end of October?, according to Polymarket traders?

Xiaomi, priced at 59.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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