As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.8% in Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since December 12, 2025, No has traded between 54.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 97.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.8% |
No is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.8% | +0.1 pts | $7.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.1 pts | $7.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,419 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfa394a59… | No | 1,419 | $1.4K |
| Virtual-Execution | Yes | 1,000 | $22 |
| Bleak-Full | No | 383 | $375 |
| Heavenly-Cassava | No | 216 | $212 |
| Negative-Wiring | Yes | 182 | $4 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 129 | $3 |
| Doting-Email | Yes | 125 | $3 |
| Required-Hierarchy | Yes | 114 | $3 |
| Fruitful-Heroine | Yes | 102 | $2 |
| Rude-Ecology | Yes | 100 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 03:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $5 |
| Oct 01, 03:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.6% | $93 |
| Oct 01, 01:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.2% | $607 |
| Sep 24, 10:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 05:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $2 |
| Sep 18, 01:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Sep 14, 07:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $2 |
| Sep 13, 01:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $2 |
| Sep 12, 10:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $3 |
| Sep 12, 09:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.8%. Next is Yes at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/apple-vision-pro-2-released-before-2027?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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