As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 18.5+ passing TDs at 63.5% in Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $12.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 18.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 63.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: -15.5 pts; past month: -12.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 18.5+ passing TDs has traded between 29.0% and 86.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 63.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 63.5% |
18.5+ passing TDs is favored at 63.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5+ passing TDs | 64¢ | 63.5% | +2.0 pts | $3.8K | 31.0% |
| 21.5+ passing TDs | 40¢ | 40.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 9.7% |
| 24.5+ passing TDs | 17¢ | 17.0% | -13.5 pts | $3.2K | 26.8% |
| 27.5+ passing TDs | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $154 | 1.3% |
| 30.5+ passing TDs | 1¢ | 1.3% | -0.9 pts | $3.8K | 31.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.1K has been traded on this event in total, $789 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Bo Nix records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 18.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bo Nix does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Bo Nix recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 637 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 637 | $404 |
| Sniveling-Raincoat | No | 346 | $126 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | No | 325 | $119 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 111 | $41 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 80 | $51 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 80 | $29 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 60 | $38 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 26 | $17 |
| Shimmering-Fibroblast | Yes | 21 | $13 |
| Potable-Bathhouse | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.3% | $80 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.8% | $110 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.1% | $93 |
| Oct 23, 11:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 18.5+ passing TDs at 63.5%. Next is 21.5+ passing TDs at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bo-nix-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$12.1K in total volume, with $789 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
18.5+ passing TDs, priced at 63.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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