As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 18.5+ passing TDs at 64.0% in Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $12.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 18.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 64.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: -10.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 18.5+ passing TDs has traded between 26.5% and 84.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
18.5+ passing TDs is favored at 64.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5+ passing TDs | 64¢ | 64.0% | -4.0 pts | $2.2K | 18.5% |
| 21.5+ passing TDs | 42¢ | 41.5% | -9.5 pts | $3.2K | 26.7% |
| 24.5+ passing TDs | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $4.6K | 38.3% |
| 27.5+ passing TDs | 8¢ | 8.2% | +1.1 pts | $633 | 5.3% |
| 30.5+ passing TDs | 4¢ | 3.7% | +0.2 pts | $1.3K | 11.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.0K has been traded on this event in total, $163 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Caleb Williams records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 18.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Caleb Williams does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Caleb Williams recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 195 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sniveling-Raincoat | No | 195 | $70 |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 136 | $87 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 100 | $64 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 28 | $10 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | No | 20 | $7 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 8 | $5 |
| Monthly-Task | No | 5 | $2 |
| Tiny-Whisper | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Rewarding-Pantologist | No | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 18.5+ passing TDs at 64.0%. Next is 21.5+ passing TDs at 41.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/caleb-williams-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$12.0K in total volume, with $163 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
18.5+ passing TDs, priced at 64.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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