As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 6.5+ receiving TDs at 73.0% in Pro Football: Christian Watson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns — $7.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 6.5+ receiving TDs, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -13.5 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 6.5+ receiving TDs has traded between 22.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.0% |
6.5+ receiving TDs is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5+ receiving TDs | 73¢ | 73.0% | -3.0 pts | $434 | 5.6% |
| 8.5+ receiving TDs | 70¢ | 70.5% | +5.5 pts | $2.5K | 33.0% |
| 10.5+ receiving TDs | 46¢ | 46.0% | -1.5 pts | $20 | 0.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 50¢ (bid 48¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Christian Watson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 6.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Christian Watson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Christian Watson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 92 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Paint | No | 92 | $25 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | Yes | 70 | $51 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 67 | $18 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 44 | $32 |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 41 | $30 |
| Lumbering-Propane | No | 30 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 25 | $18 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 11 | $3 |
| Accurate-Decoder | Yes | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.7% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 12:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 81.0% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 12:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 02:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 18, 11:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 82.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 07:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 12:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 12:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.5% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 6.5+ receiving TDs at 73.0%. Next is 8.5+ receiving TDs at 70.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/christian-watson-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$7.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
6.5+ receiving TDs, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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