As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026? — $6.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.2 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, No has traded between 97.2% and 98.5%. It opened at 98.4% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $6.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $6.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular (Braden Peters) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm to be or to have been in a romantic relationship between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is confirmed that the named individuals are engaged to be or have married, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Confirmation must come directly from Clavicular (Braden Peters), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or their official representatives, and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 682 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favorable-Density | No | 682 | $671 |
| Stable-Dissonance | Yes | 584 | $9 |
| Digital-Tweezers | No | 507 | $499 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation | Yes | 300 | $5 |
| Watchful-Fund | No | 300 | $295 |
| Untidy-Checkbook | Yes | 300 | $5 |
| Trustworthy-Staircase | Yes | 140 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 116 | $2 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 54 | $1 |
| Even-Demand | Yes | 50 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $295 |
| Oct 18, 11:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $38 |
| Oct 07, 03:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $3 |
| Oct 05, 01:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 01:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $3 |
| Oct 04, 05:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $168 |
| Oct 01, 08:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 03:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $100 |
| Sep 24, 12:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $49 |
| Sep 22, 04:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/clavicular-and-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-confirm-relationship-in-2026-20260813000143573?via=bro
$6.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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