Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2 at 49.5% in How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30? — $17.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $429.
Leading outcome
2
50%
A 49.5% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −4.0 pts7D −22.0 pts
249.5%
334.0%
Bid
49¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 03, 2026: 31.0% – 71.5% · Opened at 31.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
Category
Navy, Sailor, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, United States, Military Actions
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$17.0K
Volume (24h)
$429
Liquidity
$111.2K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
2 — 49.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 2, is priced at 49.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: -22.0 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, 2 has traded between 31.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 49.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202671.5%
Oct 18, 202660.0%
Oct 19, 202660.5%
Oct 20, 202653.5%
Oct 22, 202655.5%
Oct 23, 202653.5%
Oct 24, 202649.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

2 is favored at 49.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
250¢49.5%-4.0 pts$5.4K31.6%
334¢34.0%+0.5 pts$6.0K35.5%
16¢6.0%+1.0 pts$3.5K20.5%
4+6¢5.7%+0.1 pts$1.1K6.6%
04¢3.8%—$1.0K5.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$17.0K has been traded on this event in total, $429 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., Nimitz-class and Gerald R. Ford-class carriers). Amphibious assault ships (LHA/LHD), other vessels, and ships of any other country will not count. A carrier will count if it is within the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time, including while making a port call or other stop within the area. A carrier outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time (e.g., in transit, or making a port call in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether it is assigned to CENTCOM operations. A carrier that enters the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it entered at or before 12:00 PM ET; a carrier that departs the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it departed after 12:00 PM ET. Carrier locations will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,367 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,367$690
Hateful-GenerationYes448$222
Worthy-LamentYes250$124
Plump-ImplementationYes122$61
Infatuated-NunYes120$59
Shady-DogNo120$61
Big-RepairNo120$61
Rare-NetballYes100$50
Required-HornYes85$42
Canine-PracticeYes84$42

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $259 at 59.9%BUY No — $122 at 73.0%BUY No — $92 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:47 PM ETNoSELL64.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$34
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoSELL65.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$34
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$34
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$34
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETNoBUY67.0%$34
Oct 24, 06:51 PM ETYesSELL33.0%$33
Oct 24, 12:44 PM ETNoBUY47.0%$25
Oct 24, 11:10 AM ETNoSELL93.0%$1

Related markets

More Navy

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 30 95.0% · 24H VOL $710

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 31 88.0% · 24H VOL $168

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 30 89.5% · 24H VOL $43

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2 at 49.5%. Next is 3 at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-us-aircraft-carriers-in-centcom-on-november-30?via=bro

How much money has been traded on How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30??

$17.0K in total volume, with $429 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?, according to Polymarket traders?

2, priced at 49.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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