As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 2026 at 64.1% in In which month will Anthropic IPO? — $442.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 2026, is priced at 64.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +8.4 pts; past month: +9.5 pts.
Since August 19, 2026, November 2026 has traded between 0.3% and 70.7%. It opened at 12.0% and last traded at 64.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 63.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.1% |
November 2026 is favored at 64.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 64¢ | 64.1% | +0.5 pts | $105.6K | 23.8% |
| December 2026 | 16¢ | 16.4% | -2.6 pts | $61.2K | 13.8% |
| January 2027 | 12¢ | 11.5% | +1.8 pts | $17.4K | 3.9% |
| April 2027 | 2¢ | 2.3% | +0.1 pts | $10.7K | 2.4% |
| March 2027 | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $11.4K | 2.6% |
| February 2027 | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $10.5K | 2.4% |
| May 2027 | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.2 pts | $10.1K | 2.3% |
| No IPO before 2028 | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $17.2K | 3.9% |
| October 2026 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.5 pts | $94.3K | 21.3% |
| June 2027 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $10.1K | 2.3% |
| July 2027 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $9.0K | 2.0% |
| August 2027 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $8.9K | 2.0% |
| September 2027 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $9.2K | 2.1% |
| October 2027 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $9.1K | 2.1% |
| November 2027 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $8.8K | 2.0% |
| December 2027 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $8.8K | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 65¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$442.7K has been traded on this event in total, $8.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,611 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 10,611 | $3.8K |
| Rundown-Regard | No | 5,506 | $2.0K |
| Original-Knee | Yes | 3,721 | $2.4K |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 3,350 | $2.1K |
| Calm-Scam-Railway | Yes | 3,234 | $2.1K |
| Trusting-Burning | Yes | 1,756 | $1.1K |
| Queasy-Bob | No | 1,212 | $435 |
| Murky-Rhetoric | Yes | 1,012 | $649 |
| Experienced-Smell-Railroad | Yes | 1,000 | $642 |
| Scrawny-Convection | Yes | 606 | $388 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.9% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 02:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $61 |
| Oct 24, 02:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.9% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 01:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.7% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 62.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.2% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.3% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.1% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 2026 at 64.1%. Next is December 2026 at 16.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo?via=bro
$442.7K in total volume, with $8.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
November 2026, priced at 64.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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