As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Anthropic at 79.0% in IPOs before 2027? — $7.57M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Anthropic, is priced at 79.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +2.5 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, Anthropic has traded between 25.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 79.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.0% |
Anthropic is favored at 79.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 79¢ | 79.0% | -3.0 pts | $690.9K | 9.1% |
| Celonis | 8¢ | 7.8% | +0.4 pts | $211.5K | 2.8% |
| Ledger | 6¢ | 6.0% | +0.2 pts | $515.3K | 6.8% |
| Discord | 6¢ | 5.8% | -0.9 pts | $491.7K | 6.5% |
| Rippling | 6¢ | 5.7% | — | $122.1K | 1.6% |
| Freddie Mac | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.2 pts | $246.2K | 3.3% |
| Perplexity | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $159 | 0.0% |
| Revolut | 4¢ | 4.4% | — | $61.6K | 0.8% |
| Remote | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.2 pts | $56.6K | 0.7% |
| Applied Intuition | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.1 pts | $207.0K | 2.7% |
| OpenAI | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $610.1K | 8.1% |
| Mistral AI | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $167.4K | 2.2% |
| Fannie Mae | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $181.6K | 2.4% |
| Canva | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.1 pts | $39.6K | 0.5% |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $107.0K | 1.4% |
| Ripple Labs | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $158.8K | 2.1% |
| WHOOP | 3¢ | 2.5% | +0.5 pts | $6.5K | 0.1% |
| Ramp | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $157.6K | 2.1% |
| ByteDance | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $32.7K | 0.4% |
| Vanta | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.5 pts | $150.1K | 2.0% |
| Stripe | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $269.5K | 3.6% |
| Databricks | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $494.9K | 6.5% |
| Anduril Industries | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.2 pts | $58.5K | 0.8% |
| Waymo | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $54.7K | 0.7% |
| Epic Games | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $99.2K | 1.3% |
| Anduril | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $365.4K | 4.8% |
| Glean | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $52.4K | 0.7% |
| Brex | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $222.1K | 2.9% |
| Deel | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $136.2K | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.57M has been traded on this event in total, $10.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11,732 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Realistic-Aggradation | Yes | 11,732 | $9.3K |
| Positive-Steam | No | 11,600 | $2.4K |
| Runny-Reservoir | Yes | 11,113 | $8.8K |
| Grumpy-Urn | No | 9,614 | $2.0K |
| Imaginative-River | Yes | 7,512 | $5.9K |
| Agitated-Jalapeño | No | 7,364 | $1.5K |
| Sparse-Cookie | No | 6,489 | $1.4K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 6,483 | $1.4K |
| Healthy-Designer | No | 6,366 | $1.3K |
| Offbeat-Menorah | Yes | 6,000 | $4.7K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.7% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 06:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 05:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Anthropic at 79.0%. Next is Celonis at 7.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027?via=bro
$7.57M in total volume, with $10.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Anthropic, priced at 79.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.