As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 16.5+ passing TDs at 4.5% in Pro Football: Jalen Hurts 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $5.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 16.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 4.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -27.5 pts; past month: -83.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 16.5+ passing TDs has traded between 0.8% and 92.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 4.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 0.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4.3% |
16.5+ passing TDs is favored at 4.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5+ passing TDs | 5¢ | 4.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K | 26.5% |
| 22.5+ passing TDs | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.4 pts | $937 | 17.8% |
| 28.5+ passing TDs | 3¢ | 3.5% | +0.4 pts | $996 | 18.9% |
| 25.5+ passing TDs | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $544 | 10.3% |
| 19.5+ passing TDs | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K | 26.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 16.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jalen Hurts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Jalen Hurts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 510 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assured-Rowing | No | 510 | $487 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 215 | $10 |
| Accurate-Decoder | No | 177 | $169 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 60 | $3 |
| Calculating-Sideburns | Yes | 50 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 50 | $2 |
| Pesky-Glutamate | Yes | 41 | $2 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 40 | $2 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | Yes | 40 | $2 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 30 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 09:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.1% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 16.5+ passing TDs at 4.5%. Next is 22.5+ passing TDs at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jalen-hurts-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$5.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
16.5+ passing TDs, priced at 4.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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