As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 15.5+ passing TDs at 89.0% in Pro Football: Jayden Daniels 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $7.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 15.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 89.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +13.5 pts; past month: +61.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 15.5+ passing TDs has traded between 25.5% and 89.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 89.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.0% |
15.5+ passing TDs is favored at 89.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5+ passing TDs | 89¢ | 89.0% | — | $338 | 4.5% |
| 18.5+ passing TDs | 54¢ | 54.0% | -3.5 pts | $2.1K | 27.5% |
| 21.5+ passing TDs | 32¢ | 31.5% | -8.5 pts | $1.7K | 22.1% |
| 24.5+ passing TDs | 14¢ | 14.5% | +2.5 pts | $2.9K | 38.3% |
| 27.5+ passing TDs | 7¢ | 7.3% | +0.1 pts | $582 | 7.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $190 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Jayden Daniels records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 15.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jayden Daniels does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Jayden Daniels recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 70 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 70 | $62 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | No | 25 | $3 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 25 | $3 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 20 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $2 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 6 | $5 |
| 0xd5cd7a57… | No | 6 | $1 |
| Empty-Annual | Yes | 4 | $3 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 4 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 42.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 15.5+ passing TDs at 89.0%. Next is 18.5+ passing TDs at 54.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jayden-daniels-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$7.6K in total volume, with $190 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
15.5+ passing TDs, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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