As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 18.5+ passing TDs at 60.5% in Pro Football: Justin Herbert 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $9.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 18.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 60.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -21.5 pts; past month: -21.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 18.5+ passing TDs has traded between 50.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 60.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.5% |
18.5+ passing TDs is favored at 60.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5+ passing TDs | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $1.3K | 13.1% |
| 21.5+ passing TDs | 40¢ | 40.0% | +2.5 pts | $694 | 7.2% |
| 24.5+ passing TDs | 22¢ | 21.5% | — | $3.3K | 33.9% |
| 27.5+ passing TDs | 14¢ | 14.1% | — | $3.9K | 40.5% |
| 30.5+ passing TDs | 6¢ | 6.5% | -0.5 pts | $515 | 5.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 59¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.7K has been traded on this event in total, $45 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Justin Herbert records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 18.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Herbert does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Justin Herbert recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 84 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mortified-Keystone | Yes | 84 | $51 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 71 | $28 |
| Sniveling-Raincoat | No | 46 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 25 | $15 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| 0x645ff613… | No | 20 | $8 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 14 | $6 |
| 0xbadaf319… | Yes | 7 | $4 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 7 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 39.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 18.5+ passing TDs at 60.5%. Next is 21.5+ passing TDs at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/justin-herbert-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$9.7K in total volume, with $45 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
18.5+ passing TDs, priced at 60.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.