As of November 08, 2026, 07:11 AM ET, Polymarket traders price November 16 (11:59 PM ET) at 97.0% in Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...? — $361.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 16 (11:59 PM ET), is priced at 97.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.6 pts.
Since November 06, 2026, November 16 (11:59 PM ET) has traded between 94.7% and 97.5%. It opened at 94.7% and last traded at 97.0%.
November 16 (11:59 PM ET) is favored at 97.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 16 (11:59 PM ET) | 97¢ | 97.0% | +2.6 pts | $12.7K | 3.5% |
| November 14 (11:59 PM ET) | 95¢ | 95.4% | +9.4 pts | $34.8K | 9.6% |
| November 13 (11:59 PM ET) | 95¢ | 94.5% | +18.6 pts | $39.4K | 10.9% |
| November 12 (11:59 PM ET) | 88¢ | 87.5% | +32.5 pts | $50.6K | 14.0% |
| November 11 (11:59 PM ET) | 79¢ | 79.0% | +44.0 pts | $56.0K | 15.4% |
| November 11 (2:59 PM ET) | 47¢ | 47.0% | — | $8.4K | 2.3% |
| November 10 (11:59 PM ET) | 20¢ | 19.5% | +3.5 pts | $115.5K | 31.8% |
| November 9 (11:59 PM ET) | 1¢ | 0.8% | -1.4 pts | $38.4K | 10.6% |
| November 8 (11:59 PM ET) | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $6.4K | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$361.0K has been traded on this event in total, $189.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
Resolution source: https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat
As of November 08, 2026, 07:09 AM ET, the leading outcome is November 16 (11:59 PM ET) at 97.0%. Next is November 14 (11:59 PM ET) at 95.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kai-cenat-finishes-gta-marathon-by-20261105?via=bro
$361.0K in total volume, with $189.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.
November 16 (11:59 PM ET), priced at 97.0% as of November 08, 2026, 07:09 AM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Prices on this page are before costs. Polymarket charges the taker a category fee — fee = shares × rate × price × (1 − price) — and makers pay $0. Check the exact payout, profit and fee for your trade in the Polymarket payout calculator, and see the full official rate table in the Polymarket fees guide.
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