Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?

Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jason Duval or Lucia Caminos has a canonical death within the story mode of “Grand Theft Auto VI”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A canonical death is a death that is a built-in, intended part of the game's main story, occurring during a story mission, cutscene, or one of the game's endings, rather than a death caused by the player during free-roam/open-world play outside of story missions. Deaths that occur while free-roaming (e.g., (i) the player triggering the “Wasted” screen; or (ii) being killed by police, NPCs, or environmental hazards outside of an active story mission) will not count toward resolution, regardless of whether the game displays a death or game-over screen. A qualifying death must show the character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of the character occurs, etc.). Deaths occurring in any ending of “Grand Theft Auto VI” will count toward resolution, including alternate endings reached through player choice, provided that ending is actually accessible in the released version of the game. … (condensed)