As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.8% in Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? — $18.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 66.5% and 98.6%. It opened at 87.5% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
No is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.8% | -0.4 pts | $18.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.4 pts | $18.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.1K has been traded on this event in total, $92 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,796 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swift-Lightning | No | 2,796 | $2.7K |
| Firsthand-Marsh | Yes | 1,193 | $26 |
| Perfumed-Appointment | Yes | 824 | $18 |
| Slippery-Doll | No | 424 | $414 |
| Sleepy-Council | No | 321 | $314 |
| Courageous-Parka | Yes | 282 | $6 |
| Gummy-Collagen | Yes | 258 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 232 | $5 |
| Funny-Buzzard | No | 200 | $196 |
| Enormous-Judge | Yes | 191 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.8%. Next is Yes at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/musk-out-as-tesla-ceo-before-2027?via=bro
$18.1K in total volume, with $92 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.