Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 5.5% in New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? — $30.93M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:41 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $27.1K.
Leading outcome
March 31, 2027
6%
A 5.5% price implies roughly a 6-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
March 31, 20275.5%
December 31, 20262.1%
Bid
4¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since July 23, 2026: 5.0% – 51.0% · Opened at 51.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Category
Culture, TV, netflix, Movies
Scheduled end
March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$30.93M
Volume (24h)
$27.1K
Liquidity
$100.8K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
March 31, 2027 — 5.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 5.5%.

Since July 23, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 5.0% and 51.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 5.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 20265.5%
Oct 18, 20265.5%
Oct 19, 20265.5%
Oct 20, 20265.5%
Oct 22, 20265.5%
Oct 23, 20265.5%
Oct 24, 20265.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

March 31, 2027 is favored at 5.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
March 31, 20276¢5.5%—$6200.0%
December 31, 20262¢2.1%-0.2 pts$1.16M3.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$30.93M has been traded on this event in total, $27.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 367 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Beneficial-Believer-BaseballYes367$20
Cheery-AppearanceNo347$328
Natural-VacationNo30$28
Orange-ConcreteYes21$1
Mortified-WetlandNo20$19
Gullible-GrasslandNo13$12
Oval-DozenYes12$1
Competent-GuacamoleYes10$1
0x7ee9b977…Yes7$0
Faint-AccountingNo4$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $8.2K at 98.1%BUY No — $7.5K at 98.0%BUY No — $5.9K at 98.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:12 PM ETNoBUY98.3%$19
Oct 24, 07:12 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$613
Oct 24, 07:09 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$5.9K
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$8.2K
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$1
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$3.9K
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY98.1%$2
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$7.5K
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$20
Oct 24, 09:27 AM ETNoSELL97.6%$390

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of New "Stranger Things" episode released by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:41 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 5.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday?via=bro

How much money has been traded on New "Stranger Things" episode released by...??

$30.93M in total volume, with $27.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

March 31, 2027, priced at 5.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:41 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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