As of October 24, 2026, 06:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No release by November 30 at 19.0% in Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? — $19.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No release by November 30, is priced at 19.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, No release by November 30 has traded between 13.5% and 21.5%. It opened at 13.5% and last traded at 21.5%.
No release by November 30 is favored at 19.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No release by November 30 | 19¢ | 19.0% | +1.0 pts | $2.3K | 11.7% |
| October 26 | 18¢ | 18.0% | +7.0 pts | $834 | 4.2% |
| October 29 | 16¢ | 16.5% | +6.0 pts | $1.7K | 8.5% |
| November 29 | 10¢ | 10.1% | +9.4 pts | $294 | 1.5% |
| November 5 | 8¢ | 7.5% | -1.0 pts | $622 | 3.1% |
| November 13 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $484 | 2.4% |
| November 19 | 8¢ | 7.5% | +7.1 pts | $232 | 1.2% |
| October 30 | 7¢ | 7.0% | -4.0 pts | $636 | 3.2% |
| October 27 | 6¢ | 6.2% | +2.8 pts | $561 | 2.8% |
| November 20 | 6¢ | 6.0% | -11.0 pts | $2.3K | 11.7% |
| November 27 | 6¢ | 6.0% | -0.1 pts | $382 | 1.9% |
| November 1 | 5¢ | 5.3% | +5.1 pts | $711 | 3.6% |
| November 30 | 5¢ | 5.1% | +4.7 pts | $457 | 2.3% |
| October 28 | 4¢ | 4.5% | +1.9 pts | $265 | 1.3% |
| November 14 | 4¢ | 4.0% | -1.2 pts | $571 | 2.9% |
| November 7 | 1¢ | 1.1% | -1.2 pts | $587 | 2.9% |
| November 6 | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.9 pts | $221 | 1.1% |
| November 15 | 1¢ | 1.1% | -1.0 pts | $446 | 2.2% |
| November 28 | 1¢ | 1.0% | +0.7 pts | $191 | 1.0% |
| November 4 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $244 | 1.2% |
| November 9 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.2 pts | $221 | 1.1% |
| November 12 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.3 pts | $206 | 1.0% |
| November 16 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.5 pts | $198 | 1.0% |
| November 18 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.3 pts | $198 | 1.0% |
| November 22 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $238 | 1.2% |
| November 2 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.4 pts | $185 | 0.9% |
| November 3 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.2 pts | $270 | 1.4% |
| November 10 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $271 | 1.4% |
| November 11 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.2 pts | $241 | 1.2% |
| November 26 | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.4 pts | $233 | 1.2% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $555 | 2.8% |
| November 17 | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $185 | 0.9% |
| November 23 | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $216 | 1.1% |
| November 25 | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $168 | 0.8% |
| October 24 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $459 | 2.3% |
| October 25 | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $348 | 1.7% |
| November 24 | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $272 | 1.4% |
| November 8 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -1.6 pts | $446 | 2.2% |
| November 21 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.5 pts | $342 | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.8K has been traded on this event in total, $6.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 39 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 295 | $239 |
| Whirlwind-Hospitalization-Refund | No | 279 | $226 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 226 | $43 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 71 | $13 |
| Altruistic-Elver-Ikebana | Yes | 63 | $12 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | Yes | 60 | $11 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | No | 50 | $40 |
| Unique-Dentist | Yes | 47 | $9 |
| Rundown-Conspirator | Yes | 34 | $6 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 33 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $37 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is No release by November 30 at 19.0%. Next is October 26 at 18.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-onptptpt-20261022?via=bro
$19.8K in total volume, with $6.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 39 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No release by November 30, priced at 19.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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