Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No release by November 30 at 19.0% in Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? — $19.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $6.6K.
Leading outcome
No release by November 30
19%
A 19.0% price implies roughly a 19-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts
No release by November 3019.0%
October 2618.0%
Bid
17¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
4¢
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Range since October 22, 2026: 13.5% – 21.5% · Opened at 13.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
Category
AI, gpt, Tech, OpenAI, GPT Terra, AI Releases, GPT Releases
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$19.8K
Volume (24h)
$6.6K
Liquidity
$12.0K
Markets
39
Leading outcome
No release by November 30 — 19.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No release by November 30, is priced at 19.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts.

Since October 22, 2026, No release by November 30 has traded between 13.5% and 21.5%. It opened at 13.5% and last traded at 21.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No release by November 30 is favored at 19.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No release by November 3019¢19.0%+1.0 pts$2.3K11.7%
October 2618¢18.0%+7.0 pts$8344.2%
October 2916¢16.5%+6.0 pts$1.7K8.5%
November 2910¢10.1%+9.4 pts$2941.5%
November 58¢7.5%-1.0 pts$6223.1%
November 138¢7.5%—$4842.4%
November 198¢7.5%+7.1 pts$2321.2%
October 307¢7.0%-4.0 pts$6363.2%
October 276¢6.2%+2.8 pts$5612.8%
November 206¢6.0%-11.0 pts$2.3K11.7%
November 276¢6.0%-0.1 pts$3821.9%
November 15¢5.3%+5.1 pts$7113.6%
November 305¢5.1%+4.7 pts$4572.3%
October 284¢4.5%+1.9 pts$2651.3%
November 144¢4.0%-1.2 pts$5712.9%
November 71¢1.1%-1.2 pts$5872.9%
November 61¢1.1%+0.9 pts$2211.1%
November 151¢1.1%-1.0 pts$4462.2%
November 281¢1.0%+0.7 pts$1911.0%
November 41¢0.7%+0.1 pts$2441.2%
November 91¢0.7%+0.2 pts$2211.1%
November 121¢0.7%+0.3 pts$2061.0%
November 161¢0.7%+0.5 pts$1981.0%
November 181¢0.7%+0.3 pts$1981.0%
November 221¢0.7%+0.1 pts$2381.2%
November 21¢0.6%+0.4 pts$1850.9%
November 31¢0.6%+0.2 pts$2701.4%
November 101¢0.6%+0.1 pts$2711.4%
November 111¢0.6%+0.2 pts$2411.2%
November 261¢0.6%+0.4 pts$2331.2%
October 311¢0.5%-0.4 pts$5552.8%
November 171¢0.5%+0.4 pts$1850.9%
November 231¢0.5%+0.4 pts$2161.1%
November 251¢0.5%+0.2 pts$1680.8%
October 240¢0.5%—$4592.3%
October 250¢0.4%-0.1 pts$3481.7%
November 240¢0.4%+0.1 pts$2721.4%
November 80¢0.1%-1.6 pts$4462.2%
November 210¢0.1%-0.5 pts$3421.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$19.8K has been traded on this event in total, $6.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 39 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No295$239
Whirlwind-Hospitalization-RefundNo279$226
Belated-GlueYes226$43
Evil-RowYes71$13
Altruistic-Elver-IkebanaYes63$12
0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70ddddaYes60$11
Soulful-Remains-ChorusNo50$40
Unique-DentistYes47$9
Rundown-ConspiratorYes34$6
Direct-ChainstayYes33$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $738 at 88.3%BUY No — $141 at 81.0%SELL No — $114 at 82.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:34 PM ETYesSELL16.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY83.0%$17
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$16
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$16
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$32
Oct 24, 06:20 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$15
Oct 24, 05:48 PM ETYesBUY22.0%$3
Oct 24, 05:35 PM ETYesBUY22.0%$3
Oct 24, 05:31 PM ETNoBUY81.0%$16
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$37

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is No release by November 30 at 19.0%. Next is October 26 at 18.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-onptptpt-20261022?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...??

$19.8K in total volume, with $6.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 39 markets.

When does Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?, according to Polymarket traders?

No release by November 30, priced at 19.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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