As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price February 28 at 64.5% in Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...? — $890 traded so far.
The leading outcome, February 28, is priced at 64.5%.
Since October 24, 2026, February 28 has traded between 64.5% and 65.5%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 64.5%.
February 28 is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $850 | 95.5% |
| December 31 | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $40 | 4.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$890 has been traded on this event in total, $890 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 150 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 150 | $97 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 80 | $28 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 60 | $21 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | Yes | 47 | $30 |
| Sore-Pitching | Yes | 46 | $29 |
| Detailed-Parachute | No | 40 | $14 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 22 | $8 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $7 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | No | 20 | $7 |
| Costly-Swell | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.0% | $245 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is February 28 at 64.5%. Next is December 31 at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-3pt2-released-byptptpt?via=bro
$890 in total volume, with $890 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
February 28, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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