Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price February 28 at 64.5% in Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...? — $890 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $890.
Leading outcome
February 28
64%
A 64.5% price implies roughly a 64-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
February 2864.5%
December 3141.0%
Bid
60¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
9¢
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Range since October 24, 2026: 64.5% – 65.5% · Opened at 65.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?
Category
AI, Kimi, Tech, Moonshot, AI Releases
Scheduled end
February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$890
Volume (24h)
$890
Liquidity
$855
Markets
2
Leading outcome
February 28 — 64.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, February 28, is priced at 64.5%.

Since October 24, 2026, February 28 has traded between 64.5% and 65.5%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 64.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

February 28 is favored at 64.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
February 2864¢64.5%—$85095.5%
December 3141¢41.0%—$404.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$890 has been traded on this event in total, $890 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 150 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Skeletal-LiverYes150$97
Oddball-PoisonNo80$28
Belated-GlueNo60$21
Bossy-Birdcage-PeriodYes47$30
Sore-PitchingYes46$29
Detailed-ParachuteNo40$14
Direct-ChainstayNo22$8
Apt-AntecedentNo20$7
0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70ddddaNo20$7
Costly-SwellYes3$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $245 at 69.0%BUY Yes — $197 at 49.1%BUY No — $7 at 35.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:24 PM ETYesSELL69.0%$245
Oct 24, 07:24 PM ETNoBUY35.0%$7
Oct 24, 04:36 PM ETYesBUY33.0%$7
Oct 24, 02:35 PM ETYesBUY17.0%$3
Oct 24, 01:26 PM ETNoSELL28.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:26 PM ETNoSELL29.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:26 PM ETYesBUY71.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:26 PM ETYesBUY71.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:34 PM ETNoSELL29.0%$0
Oct 24, 12:34 PM ETYesBUY70.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is February 28 at 64.5%. Next is December 31 at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-3pt2-released-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...??

$890 in total volume, with $890 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

February 28, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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