As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price January 31 at 67.0% in Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, January 31, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -16.5 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, January 31 has traded between 52.0% and 85.0%. It opened at 81.0% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.0% |
January 31 is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 67¢ | 67.0% | -3.0 pts | $1.3K | 52.5% |
| December 31 | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $1.2K | 47.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 70¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $68 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Wonder model (1.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Wonder" and be designated as version 1.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.1 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Wonder (muse-wonder-1.0) or Muse Wonder Full (muse-wonder-full-1.0) would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Wonder 2, while models whose name does not include "Wonder," such as Muse Spark or Muse Glimmer models, or which retain a version designation of 1.0 or below, such as Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full (both released October 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of either, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 209 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 209 | $140 |
| Sore-Pitching | No | 170 | $56 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda | Yes | 120 | $80 |
| Evil-Row | No | 120 | $40 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 69 | $46 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 59 | $20 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 40 | $27 |
| Each-Caliber | No | 30 | $10 |
| Determined-Prow | No | 30 | $10 |
| Experienced-Smell-Railroad | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 07:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 02:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.2% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 02:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $41 |
| Oct 22, 09:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 04:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $40 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is January 31 at 67.0%. Next is December 31 at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-muse-wonder-1pt1-released-byptptpt?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $68 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
January 31, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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