Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 79.7% in Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? — $96.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $11.3K.
Leading outcome
November 30
80%
A 79.7% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D +52.7 pts30D +48.2 pts
November 3079.7%
October 3141.0%
Bid
79¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 17, 2026: 15.0% – 96.9% · Opened at 60.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
Category
AI, gpt, Tech, OpenAI, GPT Terra, AI Releases, Recurring, GPT Releases
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$96.6K
Volume (24h)
$11.3K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
November 30 — 79.7%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 79.7%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +52.7 pts; past month: +48.2 pts.

Since August 17, 2026, November 30 has traded between 15.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 79.7%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202636.0%
Oct 15, 202630.5%
Oct 16, 202628.0%
Oct 18, 202630.5%
Oct 19, 202696.9%
Oct 20, 202686.7%
Oct 24, 202679.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30 is favored at 79.7%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 3080¢79.7%+0.5 pts$18.6K19.2%
October 3141¢41.0%-13.5 pts$19.4K20.1%
October 3041¢41.0%-12.0 pts$5.6K5.8%
October 2938¢37.5%-12.0 pts$3.3K3.4%
October 2824¢24.5%-23.0 pts$1.8K1.8%
October 2718¢18.4%-2.6 pts$1.5K1.5%
October 2612¢11.5%—$7.9K8.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$96.6K has been traded on this event in total, $11.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,047 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Anchored-ProphetNo1,047$213
Rex416Yes788$628
Known-UseYes592$472
Golden-UnemploymentNo552$112
Pointed-Inventory-NephewYes509$405
Right-InstituteNo480$97
Practical-WitYes472$376
Whirlwind-Hospitalization-RefundNo279$57
Vivid-ImprisonmentNo222$45
Incompatible-HybridisationYes220$176

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $400 at 52.0%BUY No — $252 at 87.0%BUY No — $198 at 45.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETYesSELL79.1%$14
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY19.2%$3
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY18.4%$7
Oct 24, 05:31 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$4
Oct 24, 05:31 PM ETNoBUY18.4%$4
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY20.9%$1
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY18.4%$40
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY19.1%$10
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY20.6%$9
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY19.7%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 79.7%. Next is October 31 at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...??

$96.6K in total volume, with $11.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, priced at 79.7% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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