As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 79.7% in Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? — $96.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 79.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +52.7 pts; past month: +48.2 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, November 30 has traded between 15.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 79.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.7% |
November 30 is favored at 79.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 80¢ | 79.7% | +0.5 pts | $18.6K | 19.2% |
| October 31 | 41¢ | 41.0% | -13.5 pts | $19.4K | 20.1% |
| October 30 | 41¢ | 41.0% | -12.0 pts | $5.6K | 5.8% |
| October 29 | 38¢ | 37.5% | -12.0 pts | $3.3K | 3.4% |
| October 28 | 24¢ | 24.5% | -23.0 pts | $1.8K | 1.8% |
| October 27 | 18¢ | 18.4% | -2.6 pts | $1.5K | 1.5% |
| October 26 | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $7.9K | 8.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$96.6K has been traded on this event in total, $11.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,047 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anchored-Prophet | No | 1,047 | $213 |
| Rex416 | Yes | 788 | $628 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 592 | $472 |
| Golden-Unemployment | No | 552 | $112 |
| Pointed-Inventory-Nephew | Yes | 509 | $405 |
| Right-Institute | No | 480 | $97 |
| Practical-Wit | Yes | 472 | $376 |
| Whirlwind-Hospitalization-Refund | No | 279 | $57 |
| Vivid-Imprisonment | No | 222 | $45 |
| Incompatible-Hybridisation | Yes | 220 | $176 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.1% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.2% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.4% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.4% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.4% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.1% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.6% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.7% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 79.7%. Next is October 31 at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt?via=bro
$96.6K in total volume, with $11.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 79.7% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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