As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 4.5+ receiving TDs at 87.8% in Pro Football: Nico Collins 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns — $6.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 4.5+ receiving TDs, is priced at 87.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts; past week: +7.1 pts; past month: +15.2 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 4.5+ receiving TDs has traded between 30.0% and 92.7%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 87.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.8% |
4.5+ receiving TDs is favored at 87.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5+ receiving TDs | 88¢ | 87.8% | -0.3 pts | $1.6K | 23.7% |
| 6.5+ receiving TDs | 71¢ | 71.0% | +3.0 pts | $788 | 12.0% |
| 8.5+ receiving TDs | 60¢ | 60.5% | +7.5 pts | $2.9K | 44.3% |
| 10.5+ receiving TDs | 11¢ | 11.0% | +0.5 pts | $574 | 8.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.6K has been traded on this event in total, $240 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Nico Collins records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nico Collins does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Nico Collins recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 112 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny-Address | Yes | 112 | $98 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 68 | $8 |
| Artistic-Nature | Yes | 60 | $53 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 49 | $6 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 39 | $5 |
| 0xb4336c79… | No | 20 | $2 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | Yes | 12 | $10 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 5 | $1 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 1 | $0 |
| Dimpled-Spiderling | No | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 40.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 12:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 12:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.6% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 4.5+ receiving TDs at 87.8%. Next is 6.5+ receiving TDs at 71.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nico-collins-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$6.6K in total volume, with $240 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
4.5+ receiving TDs, priced at 87.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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