As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.4% in OpenAI acquired before 2027? — $4.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 73.0% and 97.4%. It opened at 74.0% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.4% |
No is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.4% | — | $4.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $4.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 469 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scientific-Sophomore | No | 469 | $457 |
| Ill-Fated-Shorts | No | 400 | $389 |
| Gummy-Collagen | Yes | 330 | $9 |
| Dependent-Objective | No | 322 | $313 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 292 | $8 |
| Extraneous-Celebrity | Yes | 290 | $8 |
| Common-Quill-Metric | Yes | 223 | $6 |
| Starchy-Lane | Yes | 146 | $4 |
| Blissful-Tunic | Yes | 108 | $3 |
| Fruitful-Heroine | Yes | 100 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $15 |
| Oct 13, 08:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $14 |
| Oct 04, 04:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $1 |
| Sep 23, 01:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $5 |
| Sep 23, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $5 |
| Sep 13, 11:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $10 |
| Sep 11, 10:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $28 |
| Sep 06, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $9 |
| Sep 06, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $10 |
| Sep 05, 04:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.4%. Next is Yes at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/openai-acquired-before-2027?via=bro
$4.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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