As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 775T+ at 55.0% in OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22? — $4.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 775T+, is priced at 55.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +16.5 pts; past week: +30.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 775T+ has traded between 24.0% and 55.0%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 55.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.0% |
775T+ is favored at 55.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775T+ | 55¢ | 55.0% | +16.5 pts | $1.1K | 25.1% |
| 725-775T | 38¢ | 37.5% | -4.5 pts | $1.7K | 37.2% |
| 675-725T | 5¢ | 4.8% | -13.2 pts | $484 | 10.7% |
| <625T | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.4 pts | $593 | 13.2% |
| 625-675T | 1¢ | 0.5% | -3.5 pts | $622 | 13.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the four weeks of October 26 to November 22, 2026. The total number of tokens is the sum of the weekly totals displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models) for the weeks of October 26, November 2, November 9 and November 16, 2026. OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks once the figures for the week of November 23, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 23, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks at that time. This market will resolve based on the totals as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution source: https://openrouter.ai/rankings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 500 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 500 | $275 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 259 | $117 |
| Sandy-Wife | Yes | 64 | $35 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 44 | $20 |
| Dense-Whip | No | 42 | $19 |
| Monumental-Generator | No | 40 | $18 |
| Sniveling-Developmental-Lantern | No | 40 | $18 |
| Hearty-Molar | No | 31 | $14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 30 | $16 |
| Overcooked-Plowman | Yes | 29 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 775T+ at 55.0%. Next is 725-775T at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/openrouter-ai-token-usage-oct-26-to-nov-22-2026?via=bro
$4.5K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
775T+, priced at 55.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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