As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price T.J. Watt at 73.0% in Pro Football: 2026-27 15+ Sacks — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, T.J. Watt, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +23.0 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, T.J. Watt has traded between 17.0% and 73.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
T.J. Watt is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Watt | 73¢ | 73.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K | 23.5% |
| Jonathan Greenard | 52¢ | 51.8% | — | $23 | 0.4% |
| Myles Garrett | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Danielle Hunter | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $120 | 2.0% |
| Nik Bonitto | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Josh Sweat | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Odafe Oweh | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nolan Smith | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $102 | 1.7% |
| Trey Hendrickson | 48¢ | 48.0% | +0.5 pts | $21 | 0.3% |
| Jaelan Phillips | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.5 pts | $21 | 0.3% |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 30¢ | 30.0% | +10.5 pts | $1.8K | 30.3% |
| Maxx Crosby | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $63 | 1.0% |
| David Bailey | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $63 | 1.0% |
| Jared Verse | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $289 | 4.8% |
| Micah Parsons | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.2 pts | $183 | 3.0% |
| Brian Burns | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.9K | 31.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 38¢ (bid 54¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 17 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of sacks the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 15. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Half sacks count as 0.5 toward a player's total, per official NFL scoring; official NFL sack totals are used with no rounding, so 15.0 or more resolves "Yes" and 14.5 resolves "No". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many sacks the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 51 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use | No | 51 | $14 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 39 | $28 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 24 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 22 | $16 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $5 |
| 0x7d8821cd… | No | 20 | $5 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 16 | $12 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 07:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 07:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 05:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 04:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 02:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 12, 03:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 12, 01:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 11:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is T.J. Watt at 73.0%. Next is Jonathan Greenard at 51.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-15-sacks?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 17 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
T.J. Watt, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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