As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dak Prescott at 72.0% in Pro Football: 2026-27 400+ Passing Yards in a Game — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dak Prescott, is priced at 72.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.5 pts; past week: +41.5 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, Dak Prescott has traded between 11.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.0% |
Dak Prescott is favored at 72.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 72¢ | 72.0% | +5.5 pts | $887 | 12.5% |
| Josh Allen | 52¢ | 52.5% | -7.0 pts | $240 | 3.4% |
| Matthew Stafford | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $380 | 5.4% |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $20 | 0.3% |
| Geno Smith | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lamar Jackson | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| C.J. Stroud | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $114 | 1.6% |
| Daniel Jones | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bo Nix | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $308 | 4.4% |
| Kirk Cousins | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jayden Daniels | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Williams | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $63 | 0.9% |
| Jordan Love | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $144 | 2.0% |
| Baker Mayfield | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sam Darnold | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Trevor Lawrence | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $40 | 0.6% |
| Justin Herbert | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $95 | 1.3% |
| Malik Willis | 49¢ | 49.0% | -1.5 pts | $22 | 0.3% |
| Drake Maye | 49¢ | 49.0% | -1.5 pts | $211 | 3.0% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 49¢ | 49.0% | +1.0 pts | $41 | 0.6% |
| Brock Purdy | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $820 | 11.6% |
| Jalen Hurts | 47¢ | 47.0% | -1.5 pts | $21 | 0.3% |
| Cameron Ward | 26¢ | 26.5% | +0.5 pts | $507 | 7.2% |
| Bryce Young | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $61 | 0.9% |
| Jacoby Brissett | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $216 | 3.0% |
| Kyler Murray | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $22 | 0.3% |
| Deshaun Watson | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.2 pts | $140 | 2.0% |
| Jaxson Dart | 1¢ | 1.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 22.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 54¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 400 or more passing yards in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 42 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unfit-Newsprint | Yes | 42 | $30 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 30 | $8 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | Yes | 28 | $20 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 21 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $6 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 01:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 16, 03:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 03:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 01:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 09:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 15, 09:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.3% | $19 |
| Oct 15, 09:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $17 |
| Oct 15, 07:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 07:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 04:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 63.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dak Prescott at 72.0%. Next is Josh Allen at 52.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-400-passing-yards-in-a-game?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Dak Prescott, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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