As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Week 18 at 73.5% in Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza named Raiders starting QB by...? — $15.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Week 18, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -5.5 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, Week 18 has traded between 50.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 73.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.5% |
Week 18 is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 18 | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $60 | 0.4% |
| Week 17 | 66¢ | 65.5% | +0.5 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| Week 16 | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $60 | 0.4% |
| Week 15 | 53¢ | 53.0% | -4.0 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| Week 12 | 40¢ | 40.5% | +16.0 pts | $1.1K | 7.1% |
| Week 11 | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.5 pts | $196 | 1.2% |
| Week 7 | 24¢ | 23.5% | +7.5 pts | $544 | 3.4% |
| Week 10 | 18¢ | 18.0% | +8.0 pts | $753 | 4.7% |
| Week 13 | 17¢ | 17.0% | -7.0 pts | $1.4K | 8.6% |
| Week 9 | 12¢ | 12.5% | -4.0 pts | $1.7K | 10.9% |
| Week 14 | 7¢ | 7.3% | -4.2 pts | $265 | 1.7% |
| Week 8 | 3¢ | 2.8% | -1.4 pts | $2.5K | 16.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.9K has been traded on this event in total, $145 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 18 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 18, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Decoder | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| 0xfe7e3840… | No | 20 | $5 |
| Humble-Merchandise | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 05:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 04:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.8% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Week 18 at 73.5%. Next is Week 17 at 65.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-fernando-mendoza-named-raiders-starting-qb-by?via=bro
$15.9K in total volume, with $145 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Week 18, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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