As of October 24, 2026, 08:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price C.J. Stroud at 46.2% in Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards — $24.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, C.J. Stroud, is priced at 46.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.2 pts; past week: +22.3 pts; past month: -3.9 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, C.J. Stroud has traded between 0.5% and 58.1%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 49.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 23.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 58.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
C.J. Stroud is favored at 46.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 46¢ | 46.2% | -3.2 pts | $1.4K | 5.8% |
| Matthew Stafford | 42¢ | 42.0% | +16.0 pts | $484 | 2.0% |
| Jordan Love | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $807 | 3.3% |
| Dak Prescott | 13¢ | 12.7% | +7.5 pts | $162 | 0.7% |
| Daniel Jones | 6¢ | 5.5% | -10.5 pts | $490 | 2.0% |
| Jalen Hurts | 4¢ | 4.5% | +4.2 pts | $1.3K | 5.3% |
| Jayden Daniels | 3¢ | 3.0% | +2.8 pts | $372 | 1.5% |
| Lamar Jackson | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $223 | 0.9% |
| Deshaun Watson | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.5 pts | $292 | 1.2% |
| Bryce Young | 3¢ | 2.7% | +0.1 pts | $581 | 2.4% |
| Josh Allen | 3¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $309 | 1.3% |
| Jared Goff | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.1 pts | $772 | 3.2% |
| Geno Smith | 2¢ | 2.2% | +1.7 pts | $302 | 1.2% |
| Tyler Shough | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.5 pts | $2.3K | 9.3% |
| Joe Burrow | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $571 | 2.3% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.1 pts | $774 | 3.2% |
| Brock Purdy | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.5 pts | $2.0K | 8.0% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $133 | 0.5% |
| Caleb Williams | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.7 pts | $561 | 2.3% |
| Jaxson Dart | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.5 pts | $967 | 4.0% |
| Justin Herbert | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.2 pts | $505 | 2.1% |
| Bo Nix | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $430 | 1.8% |
| Jacoby Brissett | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $522 | 2.1% |
| Trevor Lawrence | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $758 | 3.1% |
| Kyler Murray | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $400 | 1.6% |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $354 | 1.5% |
| Cameron Ward | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K | 7.6% |
| Drake Maye | 0¢ | 0.2% | -2.2 pts | $627 | 2.6% |
| Sam Darnold | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $603 | 2.5% |
| Fernando Mendoza | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $328 | 1.3% |
| Baker Mayfield | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K | 6.7% |
| Kirk Cousins | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 4.7% |
| Malik Willis | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.8 pts | $500 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 46¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.4K has been traded on this event in total, $372 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 413 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Watermelon | Yes | 413 | $191 |
| Tinted-Consciousness | No | 320 | $172 |
| Frigid-Spear-Coincidence | No | 60 | $32 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 52 | $24 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 46 | $21 |
| JonnyA | No | 40 | $21 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 25 | $13 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $11 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | No | 20 | $11 |
| Venerated-Worm | No | 15 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $158 |
| Oct 24, 11:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $37 |
| Oct 21, 09:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 08:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 08:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $426 |
| Oct 19, 03:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $39 |
| Oct 19, 03:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.7% | $65 |
| Oct 19, 03:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 03:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.7% | $75 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is C.J. Stroud at 46.2%. Next is Matthew Stafford at 42.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-first-qb-to-2000-passing-yards-2026-27?via=bro
$24.4K in total volume, with $372 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
C.J. Stroud, priced at 46.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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