As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 17.5+ passing TDs at 80.0% in Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns — $13.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 17.5+ passing TDs, is priced at 80.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +11.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 17.5+ passing TDs has traded between 46.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
17.5+ passing TDs is favored at 80.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5+ passing TDs | 80¢ | 80.0% | -1.0 pts | $1.8K | 13.1% |
| 20.5+ passing TDs | 63¢ | 63.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.5K | 40.3% |
| 23.5+ passing TDs | 42¢ | 42.5% | -3.5 pts | $780 | 5.7% |
| 26.5+ passing TDs | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $2.7K | 19.9% |
| 29.5+ passing TDs | 18¢ | 17.5% | +0.1 pts | $2.9K | 21.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.7K has been traded on this event in total, $85 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 291 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Paint | No | 291 | $58 |
| Sniveling-Raincoat | No | 195 | $39 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 170 | $136 |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 125 | $100 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 105 | $84 |
| Velvety-Locket-Joint | Yes | 101 | $81 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 94 | $19 |
| Monthly-Task | Yes | 63 | $50 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 25 | $5 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 10:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.9% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 17.5+ passing TDs at 80.0%. Next is 20.5+ passing TDs at 63.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sam-darnold-passing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$13.7K in total volume, with $85 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
17.5+ passing TDs, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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