As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3,199.5+ passing yards at 78.5% in Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards — $14.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3,199.5+ passing yards, is priced at 78.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 3,199.5+ passing yards has traded between 49.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 78.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.5% |
3,199.5+ passing yards is favored at 78.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,199.5+ passing yards | 78¢ | 78.5% | +0.5 pts | $3.7K | 25.7% |
| 3,449.5+ passing yards | 40¢ | 40.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.7K | 39.5% |
| 3,699.5+ passing yards | 30¢ | 29.5% | -3.0 pts | $3.9K | 26.6% |
| 3,949.5+ passing yards | 12¢ | 12.0% | -1.5 pts | $861 | 5.9% |
| 4,199.5+ passing yards | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $333 | 2.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.5K has been traded on this event in total, $70 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,199.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velvety-Locket-Joint | Yes | 2,000 | $1.6K |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 842 | $181 |
| Loathsome-Ox | No | 661 | $142 |
| Rubbery-Paint | No | 200 | $43 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 174 | $37 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 166 | $36 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 105 | $82 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | No | 30 | $6 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 21 | $5 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 04:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 01:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3,199.5+ passing yards at 78.5%. Next is 3,449.5+ passing yards at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sam-darnold-passing-yards-2026-27?via=bro
$14.5K in total volume, with $70 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
3,199.5+ passing yards, priced at 78.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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