As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 4.5+ receiving TDs at 83.8% in Pro Football: Sam LaPorta 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns — $6.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 4.5+ receiving TDs, is priced at 83.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +21.2 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 4.5+ receiving TDs has traded between 22.5% and 96.8%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 83.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 83.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.8% |
4.5+ receiving TDs is favored at 83.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5+ receiving TDs | 84¢ | 83.8% | -0.1 pts | $513 | 7.6% |
| 6.5+ receiving TDs | 50¢ | 49.5% | -9.5 pts | $1.4K | 20.9% |
| 8.5+ receiving TDs | 8¢ | 8.2% | -15.2 pts | $1.8K | 26.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.8K has been traded on this event in total, $120 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Sam LaPorta records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam LaPorta does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Sam LaPorta recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 45 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 45 | $38 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 42 | $7 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 41 | $7 |
| Daring-Blinker | Yes | 30 | $25 |
| Accurate-Decoder | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 10 | $2 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 9 | $1 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 8 | $1 |
| Spherical-Balaclava | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 82.3% | $34 |
| Oct 21, 07:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 04:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.2% | $108 |
| Oct 21, 01:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 4.5+ receiving TDs at 83.8%. Next is 6.5+ receiving TDs at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sam-laporta-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$6.8K in total volume, with $120 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
4.5+ receiving TDs, priced at 83.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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