Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $2.00-$2.25T at 46.0% in SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026? — $39.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.7K.
Leading outcome
$2.00-$2.25T
46%
A 46.0% price implies roughly a 46-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +5.8 pts7D +17.9 pts30D +21.0 pts
$2.00-$2.25T46.0%
$1.75-$2.00T39.8%
Bid
43¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
5¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 24, 2026: 9.0% – 51.3% · Opened at 26.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
Category
Stocks, Finance, Monthly, Equities, SpaceXAI, market cap, Hide From New, market capitalization, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$39.2K
Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
$2.00-$2.25T — 46.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $2.00-$2.25T, is priced at 46.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.8 pts; past week: +17.9 pts; past month: +21.0 pts.

Since August 24, 2026, $2.00-$2.25T has traded between 9.0% and 51.3%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 46.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202631.4%
Oct 16, 202631.5%
Oct 18, 202628.1%
Oct 19, 202636.4%
Oct 20, 202633.4%
Oct 24, 202646.0%
Oct 24, 202646.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$2.00-$2.25T is favored at 46.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$2.00-$2.25T46¢46.0%+5.8 pts$9.1K23.1%
$1.75-$2.00T40¢39.8%-7.6 pts$11.9K30.3%
$2.25T+6¢5.9%-0.1 pts$12.4K31.7%
$1.50-$1.75T3¢3.0%—$3.0K7.8%
$1.25-$1.50T3¢2.6%-0.8 pts$1.1K2.9%
$1.00-$1.25T1¢0.5%-3.6 pts$5921.5%
<$1.00T0¢0.2%-0.1 pts$1.1K2.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$39.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 484 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No484$261
Rubbery-ChurnYes362$167
Gleaming-HandlebarNo150$81
Careful-BunchNo94$51
Impassioned-ChastityYes81$37
Soulful-Remains-ChorusYes56$26
Cylindrical-ChildYes54$25
Weepy-SorbetYes42$19
0xca75fbad…Yes40$18
Adventurous-Democrat-PickaxeNo40$22

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $283 at 50.7%BUY No — $191 at 70.3%SELL No — $160 at 75.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETYesSELL44.0%$4
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETYesBUY40.5%$4
Oct 24, 06:12 PM ETYesSELL44.1%$4
Oct 24, 05:40 PM ETYesBUY39.0%$8
Oct 24, 05:40 PM ETYesBUY35.6%$80
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETYesSELL44.0%$132
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoSELL65.5%$1
Oct 24, 05:24 PM ETNoBUY58.7%$3
Oct 24, 05:21 PM ETYesBUY39.2%$62
Oct 24, 05:12 PM ETYesBUY43.0%$4

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $2.00-$2.25T at 46.0%. Next is $1.75-$2.00T at 39.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-market-cap-end-of-october-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026??

$39.2K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

$2.00-$2.25T, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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