Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $2.00-$2.25T at 28.0% in SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026? — $25.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.4K.
Leading outcome
$2.00-$2.25T
28%
A 28.0% price implies roughly a 28-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D +10.0 pts
$2.00-$2.25T28.0%
$1.75-$2.00T27.9%
Bid
27¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since September 30, 2026: 19.5% – 58.0% · Opened at 20.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
Category
Stocks, Finance, Monthly, Equities, SpaceXAI, Recurring, market cap, Hide From New, market capitalization
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Total volume
$25.0K
Volume (24h)
$1.4K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
$2.00-$2.25T — 28.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $2.00-$2.25T, is priced at 28.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +10.0 pts.

Since September 30, 2026, $2.00-$2.25T has traded between 19.5% and 58.0%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 19.5%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 202622.5%
Oct 13, 202658.0%
Oct 15, 202621.0%
Oct 16, 202620.0%
Oct 18, 202624.5%
Oct 19, 202625.0%
Oct 20, 202619.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$2.00-$2.25T is favored at 28.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$2.00-$2.25T28¢28.0%-1.5 pts$7.8K31.2%
$1.75-$2.00T28¢27.9%+7.3 pts$7.6K30.4%
$1.50-$1.75T16¢15.7%+10.4 pts$4.5K18.0%
$2.25-$2.50T10¢9.5%-1.0 pts$4811.9%
$2.75T+5¢5.1%-0.9 pts$3.0K12.1%
$2.50-$2.75T4¢4.1%-2.4 pts$8743.5%
<$1.50T2¢1.7%—$6972.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$25.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 761 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Superficial-UpperYes761$213
0xa5ef39c3…No549$395
Rubbery-ChurnNo335$241
Sunny-Osprey-PompomYes120$34
Straight-WrinkleNo85$61
Gleaming-HandlebarYes67$19
Ordinary-Email-EmpireYes60$17
Awesome-Checkbook-HoseNo60$43
Amazing-Antelope-ShakedownYes40$11
Unwitting-FloorYes40$11

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $381 at 50.0%BUY No — $234 at 99.4%BUY No — $232 at 85.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:24 PM ETYesSELL25.8%$10
Oct 24, 06:22 AM ETYesBUY23.9%$9
Oct 24, 04:33 AM ETNoSELL76.1%$1
Oct 24, 04:16 AM ETYesSELL23.8%$0
Oct 24, 03:38 AM ETNoBUY76.2%$8
Oct 24, 03:37 AM ETNoSELL76.1%$8
Oct 24, 03:37 AM ETNoSELL76.1%$15
Oct 24, 03:37 AM ETYesBUY22.6%$92
Oct 24, 03:37 AM ETYesBUY23.9%$5
Oct 24, 03:37 AM ETYesBUY23.2%$20

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $2.00-$2.25T at 28.0%. Next is $1.75-$2.00T at 27.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/spacexs-market-cap-end-of-november-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026??

$25.0K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

$2.00-$2.25T, priced at 28.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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