As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Matt Gay at 80.0% in Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring Kickers — $16.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Matt Gay, is priced at 80.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.8 pts; past week: +8.4 pts; past month: +30.0 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, Matt Gay has traded between 24.5% and 87.2%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
Matt Gay is favored at 80.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gay | 80¢ | 80.0% | -7.8 pts | $1.9K | 11.0% |
| Brandon Aubrey | 74¢ | 74.5% | — | $20 | 0.1% |
| Evan McPherson | 74¢ | 74.5% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Jake Bates | 73¢ | 73.0% | — | $300 | 1.8% |
| Cam Little | 69¢ | 69.0% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Will Reichard | 55¢ | 54.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Trey Smack | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $70 | 0.4% |
| Tyler Loop | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $60 | 0.4% |
| Blake Grupe | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.1 pts | $383 | 2.3% |
| Jason Myers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Harrison Mevis | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Eddy Pineiro | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Harrison Butker | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cairo Santos | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chase McLaughlin | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nick Folk | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jake Elliott | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wil Lutz | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $8 | 0.0% |
| Andy Borregales | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chad Ryland | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $20 | 0.1% |
| Austin Seibert | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Riley Patterson | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brett Maher | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $162 | 1.0% |
| Chris Boswell | 50¢ | 49.5% | -1.0 pts | $62 | 0.4% |
| Jason Sanders | 50¢ | 49.5% | +1.5 pts | $21 | 0.1% |
| Greg Zuerlein | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $42 | 0.2% |
| Dominic Zvada | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $122 | 0.7% |
| Younghoe Koo | 48¢ | 48.4% | -1.1 pts | $300 | 1.8% |
| Andre Szmyt | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $450 | 2.7% |
| Ryan Fitzgerald | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $501 | 3.0% |
| Cameron Dicker | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $180 | 1.1% |
| Daniel Carlson | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $60 | 0.4% |
| Joey Slye | 25¢ | 25.0% | -0.5 pts | $93 | 0.5% |
| Tyler Bass | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $137 | 0.8% |
| Matt Prater | 10¢ | 10.3% | -0.7 pts | $753 | 4.4% |
| Michael Badgley | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| Anders Carlson | 4¢ | 4.2% | -2.7 pts | $932 | 5.5% |
| Charlie Smyth | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.3 pts | $683 | 4.0% |
| Randy Bullock | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.1 pts | $345 | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wright | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $1.3K | 7.6% |
| Justin Tucker | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $306 | 1.8% |
| Brandon McManus | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.3 pts | $959 | 5.7% |
| Greg Joseph | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $407 | 2.4% |
| Graham Gano | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $684 | 4.0% |
| Cade York | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $846 | 5.0% |
| Mason Crosby | 1¢ | 1.2% | -1.0 pts | $442 | 2.6% |
| Jake Moody | 1¢ | 1.0% | +0.1 pts | $2.2K | 12.8% |
| Dustin Hopkins | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $300 | 1.8% |
| Zane Gonzalez | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $1.7K | 10.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.9K has been traded on this event in total, $61 of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named kicker finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 kickers by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more kickers are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 kickers are classified as top 12. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Resolution source: https://www.espn.com/fantasy/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 424 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Made-Sovereignty | Yes | 424 | $339 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 124 | $25 |
| Worthy-Petitioner-Shark | No | 120 | $24 |
| Daring-Blinker | No | 118 | $24 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 58 | $12 |
| Venerated-Worm | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 27 | $5 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $4 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 08:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 12:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.9% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.3% | $52 |
| Oct 10, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.1% | $26 |
| Oct 08, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $20 |
| Oct 08, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.5% | $14 |
| Oct 08, 10:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Matt Gay at 80.0%. Next is Brandon Aubrey at 74.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-12-k-2026-27-nfl-season?via=bro
$16.9K in total volume, with $61 traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.espn.com/fantasy/.
Matt Gay, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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