Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Gas prices on October 25?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $4.2900-4.2999 at 58.5% in Gas prices on October 25? — $1.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.3K.
Leading outcome
$4.2900-4.2999
58%
A 58.5% price implies roughly a 58-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
$4.2900-4.299958.5%
$4.2800-4.289940.0%
Bid
53¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
11¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Gas prices on October 25?
Category
AAA, Oil, gas, Economy, Finance, Inflation, Commodities, Recurring, Daily, Hide From New
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
Total volume
$1.4K
Volume (24h)
$1.3K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
$4.2900-4.2999 — 58.5%
Resolution source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$4.2900-4.2999 is favored at 58.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$4.2900-4.299958¢58.5%—$1309.3%
$4.2800-4.289940¢40.0%—$39328.1%
$4.3000-4.309940¢39.9%—$564.0%
$4.3100-4.31991¢0.9%—$17512.5%
<$4.28001¢0.7%—$28820.6%
$4.3200+0¢0.5%—$35825.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve according to the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA for October 25, 2026. This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent previously-published AAA US national average price of regular gasoline. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://gasprices.aaa.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 61 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No61$25
Weird-Ephemeris-ExceptionYes50$29
Helpful-ShoreYes20$12
Serpentine-IllusionYes20$12
Purple-WarlockYes20$12
Kindly-ThinkingNo20$8
Motherly-GuidelineNo15$6
Pretty-Competence-ClergymanNo9$4
Perfumed-MoatYes8$5
Scholarly-DenimNo5$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $233 at 99.0%BUY No — $233 at 99.0%BUY No — $80 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:45 PM ETYesBUY50.0%$20
Oct 24, 08:38 PM ETYesBUY35.0%$7
Oct 24, 08:05 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$80
Oct 24, 05:41 PM ETNoBUY70.0%$7
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$4
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$4
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$5
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$8
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$5
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETYesBUY1.8%$0

Related markets

More AAA

What will gas hit the week of October 19?

↓ $4.26 46.9% · 24H VOL $843

Will gas hit __ by end of October?

↓ $4.20 18.0% · 24H VOL $0

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Gas prices on October 25??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is $4.2900-4.2999 at 58.5%. Next is $4.2800-4.2899 at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-gas-price-on-october-25-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Gas prices on October 25??

$1.4K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Gas prices on October 25? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://gasprices.aaa.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Gas prices on October 25?, according to Polymarket traders?

$4.2900-4.2999, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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