Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.0% in US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? — $81.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $746.
Leading outcome
No
97%
A 97.0% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.2 pts7D −0.4 pts30D −0.7 pts
No97.0%
Yes3.0%
Bid
2¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 14, 2026: 86.0% – 98.5% · Opened at 89.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Category
Greenland, World, Geopolitics, Trump
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$81.4K
Volume (24h)
$746
Liquidity
$27.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 97.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.

Since January 14, 2026, No has traded between 86.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 89.5% and last traded at 97.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202696.5%
Oct 18, 202696.7%
Oct 19, 202696.6%
Oct 20, 202696.8%
Oct 22, 202696.9%
Oct 23, 202696.8%
Oct 24, 202697.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 97.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No97¢97.0%+0.2 pts$81.4K100.0%
Yes3¢3.0%-0.2 pts$81.4K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$81.4K has been traded on this event in total, $746 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,369 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0x52282c67…Yes1,369$41
Odd-StrawmanYes1,173$35
Virtuous-DictionYes799$24
Glittering-LaparoscopeNo750$728
Better-VoidNo746$723
Scared-CardboardNo607$589
Full-DealerNo395$383
Probable-SiteYes320$10
Compassionate-KneejerkNo273$265
0x6b0ebbef…Yes228$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $729 at 97.8%SELL No — $102 at 97.9%SELL No — $53 at 95.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:11 AM ETNoBUY97.8%$729
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$1
Oct 19, 06:15 PM ETNoBUY97.4%$3
Oct 19, 04:35 PM ETYesBUY2.9%$3
Oct 18, 05:38 PM ETNoBUY97.3%$2
Oct 15, 05:23 PM ETNoBUY97.3%$1
Oct 15, 04:31 AM ETNoSELL95.7%$53
Oct 04, 05:24 AM ETYesSELL2.5%$0
Sep 27, 09:48 AM ETNoBUY97.5%$5
Sep 19, 01:51 AM ETNoBUY97.5%$4

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of US x Denmark Military clash before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.0%. Next is Yes at 3.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-denmark-military-clash-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on US x Denmark Military clash before 2027??

$81.4K in total volume, with $746 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 97.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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