Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 89.5% in USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...? — $13.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $43.
Leading outcome
November 30
90%
A 89.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.0 pts7D +6.0 pts
November 3089.5%
October 3185.0%
Bid
88¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 03, 2026: 34.5% – 93.0% · Opened at 34.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
Category
Navy, Sailor, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, United States, Military Actions
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$13.5K
Volume (24h)
$43
Liquidity
$33.2K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
November 30 — 89.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 89.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, November 30 has traded between 34.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 34.5% and last traded at 91.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202684.0%
Oct 17, 202683.5%
Oct 18, 202683.5%
Oct 19, 202686.0%
Oct 20, 202681.5%
Oct 22, 202690.5%
Oct 23, 202691.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30 is favored at 89.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 3090¢89.5%-2.0 pts$3.2K23.9%
October 3185¢85.0%-3.0 pts$10.3K76.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$13.5K has been traded on this event in total, $43 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the specified time may be established by information published after that time. Port calls, temporary stops, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will count as being within the area. Port calls, crew liberty, transits, or other movements outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility (e.g., in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether the ship remains assigned to CENTCOM operations or subsequently returns. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, will return, or is assigned to operations in the region will not by themselves establish its location. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 555 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueNo555$58
Queasy-AirshipYes301$269
Weird-FreedomYes260$233
Delicious-HackworkYes204$182
Hateful-GenerationYes145$130
Required-HornNo126$13
Skeletal-LiverNo100$10
Direct-ChainstayNo45$5
Grim-GarageNo21$2
Known-UseNo20$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $312 at 83.3%SELL Yes — $233 at 87.6%BUY Yes — $192 at 73.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:05 AM ETNoSELL6.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:11 AM ETYesBUY89.0%$4
Oct 23, 02:02 PM ETYesBUY86.0%$40
Oct 21, 07:42 PM ETNoSELL10.0%$2
Oct 21, 07:41 PM ETNoSELL11.0%$2
Oct 21, 07:41 PM ETYesBUY90.0%$18
Oct 21, 07:41 PM ETNoSELL11.5%$9
Oct 21, 02:53 PM ETNoBUY12.0%$6
Oct 21, 02:53 PM ETYesBUY88.0%$18
Oct 21, 02:53 PM ETYesBUY88.0%$26

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 89.5%. Next is October 31 at 85.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...??

$13.5K in total volume, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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