As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 89.5% in USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...? — $13.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, November 30 has traded between 34.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 34.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.5% |
November 30 is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 90¢ | 89.5% | -2.0 pts | $3.2K | 23.9% |
| October 31 | 85¢ | 85.0% | -3.0 pts | $10.3K | 76.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.5K has been traded on this event in total, $43 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the specified time may be established by information published after that time. Port calls, temporary stops, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will count as being within the area. Port calls, crew liberty, transits, or other movements outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility (e.g., in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether the ship remains assigned to CENTCOM operations or subsequently returns. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, will return, or is assigned to operations in the region will not by themselves establish its location. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 555 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 555 | $58 |
| Queasy-Airship | Yes | 301 | $269 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 260 | $233 |
| Delicious-Hackwork | Yes | 204 | $182 |
| Hateful-Generation | Yes | 145 | $130 |
| Required-Horn | No | 126 | $13 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 100 | $10 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 45 | $5 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $2 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 86.0% | $40 |
| Oct 21, 07:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 07:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 11.5% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 02:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 02:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 02:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $26 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 89.5%. Next is October 31 at 85.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt?via=bro
$13.5K in total volume, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.