Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 88.0% in USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...? — $45.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $14.
Leading outcome
December 31
88%
A 88.0% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D +6.5 pts
December 3188.0%
November 3032.5%
Bid
87¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 03, 2026: 56.5% – 92.0% · Opened at 60.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?
Category
Navy, Sailor, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, United States, Military Actions
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$45.8K
Volume (24h)
$14
Liquidity
$50.6K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
December 31 — 88.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 88.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 56.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 87.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202681.5%
Oct 17, 202681.5%
Oct 18, 202692.0%
Oct 19, 202687.0%
Oct 20, 202685.0%
Oct 22, 202685.5%
Oct 23, 202687.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 88.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3188¢88.0%+1.0 pts$9.0K19.7%
November 3032¢32.5%+1.0 pts$30.3K66.1%
November 1514¢13.5%+0.5 pts$6.5K14.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$45.8K has been traded on this event in total, $14 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George Washington (CVN-73) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Washington will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS George Washington left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 400 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Essential-Boar-HarmonizeYes400$352
Belated-GlueNo264$32
Piercing-FormationYes99$87
Muffled-ProteinNo83$10
Cooperative-MetalYes55$48
Secondary-ConfectioneryYes53$47
Speedy-BartenderNo50$6
Minor-RoseNo41$5
Zigzag-Conspirator-GleeNo40$5
Impartial-TatamiYes39$34

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $206 at 89.4%BUY Yes — $156 at 67.8%SELL Yes — $122 at 24.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:28 AM ETNoBUY11.0%$2
Oct 23, 06:10 PM ETYesSELL39.0%$0
Oct 23, 06:09 PM ETNoBUY61.0%$12
Oct 23, 05:59 PM ETNoBUY60.0%$9
Oct 23, 05:14 PM ETNoBUY66.0%$13
Oct 23, 05:14 PM ETYesBUY35.0%$4
Oct 23, 04:45 PM ETYesBUY34.0%$7
Oct 23, 04:35 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$3
Oct 23, 04:20 PM ETYesBUY31.0%$3
Oct 23, 04:19 PM ETYesBUY31.0%$16

Related markets

More Navy

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 30 95.0% · 24H VOL $710

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 88.0%. Next is November 30 at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-washington-departs-centcom-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...??

$45.8K in total volume, with $14 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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