As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 88.0% in USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...? — $45.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 56.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 87.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.0% |
December 31 is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 88¢ | 88.0% | +1.0 pts | $9.0K | 19.7% |
| November 30 | 32¢ | 32.5% | +1.0 pts | $30.3K | 66.1% |
| November 15 | 14¢ | 13.5% | +0.5 pts | $6.5K | 14.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$45.8K has been traded on this event in total, $14 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George Washington (CVN-73) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Washington will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS George Washington left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 400 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Essential-Boar-Harmonize | Yes | 400 | $352 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 264 | $32 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 99 | $87 |
| Muffled-Protein | No | 83 | $10 |
| Cooperative-Metal | Yes | 55 | $48 |
| Secondary-Confectionery | Yes | 53 | $47 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 50 | $6 |
| Minor-Rose | No | 41 | $5 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 40 | $5 |
| Impartial-Tatami | Yes | 39 | $34 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 06:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 05:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 05:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 05:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 04:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 88.0%. Next is November 30 at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-george-washington-departs-centcom-byptptpt?via=bro
$45.8K in total volume, with $14 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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