As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $1.50–$1.75T at 55.9% in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? — $214.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $1.50–$1.75T, is priced at 55.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.4 pts; past week: +26.4 pts; past month: +50.7 pts.
Since August 19, 2026, $1.50–$1.75T has traded between 1.3% and 55.9%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 55.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 35.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 27.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 41.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 44.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.9% |
$1.50–$1.75T is favored at 55.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.50–$1.75T | 56¢ | 55.9% | +12.4 pts | $35.8K | 16.7% |
| $1.75–$2.00T | 22¢ | 22.5% | -12.0 pts | $87.9K | 41.0% |
| $2.00–$2.25T | 4¢ | 4.2% | -1.9 pts | $43.5K | 20.3% |
| $2.25–$2.50T | 4¢ | 3.6% | — | $13.6K | 6.4% |
| $1.25–$1.50T | 2¢ | 2.5% | -3.1 pts | $11.4K | 5.3% |
| $2.50T+ | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.2 pts | $8.5K | 4.0% |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.5 pts | $6.3K | 3.0% |
| <$1.25T | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $7.4K | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 54¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$214.4K has been traded on this event in total, $7.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,301 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6,301 | $2.8K |
| Somber-Ice | Yes | 3,111 | $1.7K |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 1,650 | $922 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 782 | $437 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 464 | $205 |
| Primary-Profile | Yes | 450 | $251 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 273 | $153 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 224 | $99 |
| Speedy-Automation | Yes | 208 | $116 |
| Dimpled-Foal | Yes | 190 | $106 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.2% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.9% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.6% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 38.2% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 05:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is $1.50–$1.75T at 55.9%. Next is $1.75–$2.00T at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-anthropics-ipo-valuation-be?via=bro
$214.4K in total volume, with $7.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$1.50–$1.75T, priced at 55.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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