Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)

As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Rocket at 56.5% in What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25) — $997 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $374.
Leading outcome
Rocket
56%
A 56.5% price implies roughly a 56-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +6.0 pts7D +7.5 pts
Rocket56.5%
Canyon46.5%
Bid
28¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
57¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 18, 2026: 50.5% – 66.0% · Opened at 54.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
Category
Elon, Tech, tweet, Twitter, Big Tech, Mentions, Recurring, Elon Tweets, Tweet Markets
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$997
Volume (24h)
$374
Liquidity
$143
Markets
7
Leading outcome
Rocket — 56.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Rocket, is priced at 56.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.0 pts; past week: +7.5 pts.

Since October 18, 2026, Rocket has traded between 50.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 56.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Rocket is favored at 56.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Rocket56¢56.5%+6.0 pts$16916.9%
Canyon46¢46.5%-2.5 pts$00.0%
Legal41¢41.0%-9.5 pts$00.0%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency38¢38.5%-7.0 pts$777.7%
Flying Car36¢36.0%-13.0 pts$00.0%
James Bond36¢35.5%-1.5 pts$272.7%
Evel Knievel35¢35.0%-2.0 pts$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 57¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$997 has been traded on this event in total, $374 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Shameful-RamNo75$33
Frail-PrayerYes52$30
Cheery-HostelYes27$15
Elliptical-Organization-OriginalYes25$14
Potable-VinegarNo25$11
These-Latency-PerspectiveYes15$8
Tough-CongaNo14$6
Magnificent-Pawnshop-FieryNo5$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $54 at 71.3%BUY No — $37 at 99.0%BUY Yes — $25 at 90.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:22 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$37
Oct 24, 06:19 PM ETYesSELL28.0%$2
Oct 24, 10:18 AM ETYesBUY86.0%$6
Oct 23, 07:26 PM ETNoBUY71.3%$54
Oct 23, 05:39 PM ETYesBUY90.0%$25
Oct 23, 01:00 PM ETNoSELL3.0%$0
Oct 23, 12:00 AM ETNoBUY69.0%$7
Oct 23, 12:00 AM ETNoBUY69.0%$3
Oct 22, 11:58 PM ETNoBUY70.0%$10
Oct 22, 11:58 PM ETNoBUY69.0%$11

Related markets

More Elon

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Rocket at 56.5%. Next is Canyon at 46.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-elon-post-this-week-october-19-october-25-20261025?via=bro

How much money has been traded on What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)?

$997 in total volume, with $374 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25) end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25), according to Polymarket traders?

Rocket, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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