As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Rocket at 56.5% in What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25) — $997 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Rocket, is priced at 56.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.0 pts; past week: +7.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Rocket has traded between 50.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 56.5%.
Rocket is favored at 56.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocket | 56¢ | 56.5% | +6.0 pts | $169 | 16.9% |
| Canyon | 46¢ | 46.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Legal | 41¢ | 41.0% | -9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 38¢ | 38.5% | -7.0 pts | $77 | 7.7% |
| Flying Car | 36¢ | 36.0% | -13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| James Bond | 36¢ | 35.5% | -1.5 pts | $27 | 2.7% |
| Evel Knievel | 35¢ | 35.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 57¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$997 has been traded on this event in total, $374 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Ram | No | 75 | $33 |
| Frail-Prayer | Yes | 52 | $30 |
| Cheery-Hostel | Yes | 27 | $15 |
| Elliptical-Organization-Original | Yes | 25 | $14 |
| Potable-Vinegar | No | 25 | $11 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Tough-Conga | No | 14 | $6 |
| Magnificent-Pawnshop-Fiery | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 06:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 10:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 86.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.3% | $54 |
| Oct 23, 05:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 01:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 12:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 12:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 11:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 11:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Rocket at 56.5%. Next is Canyon at 46.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-elon-post-this-week-october-19-october-25-20261025?via=bro
$997 in total volume, with $374 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Rocket, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.