As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price NASDAQ at 90.0% in Which exchange will Anthropic list on? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, NASDAQ, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -5.9 pts.
Since August 19, 2026, NASDAQ has traded between 65.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 90.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.0% |
NASDAQ is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NASDAQ | 90¢ | 90.0% | +0.2 pts | $667 | 35.8% |
| NYSE | 49¢ | 49.0% | +39.1 pts | $374 | 20.1% |
| Other | 8¢ | 8.3% | -0.1 pts | $821 | 44.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which Anthropic's shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO). For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas. The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other". If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 224 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 224 | $22 |
| Ideal-Arch | Yes | 160 | $144 |
| Celebrated-Spectrum | Yes | 100 | $90 |
| Sunny-Osprey-Pompom | Yes | 78 | $70 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 57 | $6 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 50 | $5 |
| Motherly-Guideline | No | 13 | $1 |
| Light-Constraint-Pita | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 01:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.2% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 01:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.1% | $80 |
| Oct 22, 01:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.6% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 02:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $96 |
| Oct 15, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.7% | $20 |
| Oct 15, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $133 |
| Oct 15, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is NASDAQ at 90.0%. Next is NYSE at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-exchange-will-anthropic-list-on?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
NASDAQ, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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