Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price NASDAQ at 90.0% in Which exchange will Anthropic list on? — $1.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
NASDAQ
90%
A 90.0% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.2 pts7D −0.1 pts30D −5.9 pts
NASDAQ90.0%
NYSE49.0%
Bid
81¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
18¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 19, 2026: 65.0% – 96.0% · Opened at 65.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
Category
AI, IPO, IPOs, Claude, Finance, Big Tech, Anthropic, Anthropic IPO
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.9K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$296
Markets
3
Leading outcome
NASDAQ — 90.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, NASDAQ, is priced at 90.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -5.9 pts.

Since August 19, 2026, NASDAQ has traded between 65.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 65.0% and last traded at 90.0%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202694.4%
Oct 15, 202688.7%
Oct 16, 202688.7%
Oct 18, 202689.6%
Oct 19, 202690.0%
Oct 20, 202690.0%
Oct 24, 202690.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

NASDAQ is favored at 90.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
NASDAQ90¢90.0%+0.2 pts$66735.8%
NYSE49¢49.0%+39.1 pts$37420.1%
Other8¢8.3%-0.1 pts$82144.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the exchange on which Anthropic's shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO). For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas. The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other". If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 224 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No224$22
Ideal-ArchYes160$144
Celebrated-SpectrumYes100$90
Sunny-Osprey-PompomYes78$70
Belated-GlueNo57$6
Pointed-WildernessNo50$5
Motherly-GuidelineNo13$1
Light-Constraint-PitaYes5$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $146 at 92.2%BUY No — $133 at 98.8%SELL Yes — $102 at 92.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 01:17 PM ETNoSELL84.2%$7
Oct 23, 01:17 PM ETNoSELL90.1%$80
Oct 22, 01:35 AM ETNoBUY5.0%$0
Oct 15, 02:36 PM ETYesBUY1.6%$1
Oct 15, 02:15 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$96
Oct 15, 02:14 PM ETNoBUY99.5%$6
Oct 15, 02:14 PM ETNoBUY14.7%$20
Oct 15, 02:14 PM ETNoBUY15.0%$1
Oct 15, 02:14 PM ETNoBUY98.8%$133
Oct 15, 02:14 PM ETNoBUY15.0%$2

Related markets

More AI

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which exchange will Anthropic list on??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is NASDAQ at 90.0%. Next is NYSE at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-exchange-will-anthropic-list-on?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which exchange will Anthropic list on??

$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Which exchange will Anthropic list on? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Which exchange will Anthropic list on?, according to Polymarket traders?

NASDAQ, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.