As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pablo Picasso at 75.5% in Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026? — $78.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pablo Picasso, is priced at 75.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.
Since June 06, 2026, Pablo Picasso has traded between 24.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 24.5% and last traded at 76.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.0% |
Pablo Picasso is favored at 75.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Picasso | 76¢ | 75.5% | -0.5 pts | $42.6K | 54.6% |
| Other | 22¢ | 22.4% | +0.3 pts | $24.8K | 31.8% |
| Jean-Michel Basquiat | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $4.2K | 5.4% |
| Andy Warhol | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $6.4K | 8.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$78.1K has been traded on this event in total, $16 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the name of the listed artist who is ranked #1 in global fine art auction turnover for the 2026 calendar year according to the Artprice Annual Report covering 2026. If the Artprice Annual Report is not published by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, or does not include a ranked list of top-selling artists by turnover, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve according to the Artprice Annual Report, scheduled for release in early 2027, available at artprice.com or artmarket.com.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,067 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,067 | $997 |
| Demanding-City | Yes | 2,146 | $1.6K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 993 | $243 |
| Left-Endpoint-Racer | Yes | 570 | $430 |
| Overcooked-Almond | Yes | 427 | $323 |
| 0x3a9dad53… | Yes | 378 | $285 |
| Careful-Bunch | Yes | 324 | $244 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 319 | $241 |
| Frosty-Objective | Yes | 250 | $189 |
| Worst-Illiteracy | No | 240 | $59 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.4% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 04:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.4% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 08:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 08:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 05:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $39 |
| Oct 21, 05:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $139 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pablo Picasso at 75.5%. Next is Other at 22.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-top-selling-artist-by-total-auction-sales-in-2026-20260605235158033?via=bro
$78.1K in total volume, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Pablo Picasso, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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