As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Artist A at 50.0% in Turner Prize 2026 Winner — $51.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Artist A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Artist A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artist A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Artist K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kira Freije | 34¢ | 33.5% | -7.0 pts | $15.3K | 29.9% |
| Tanoa Sasraku | 24¢ | 23.5% | +4.5 pts | $14.8K | 28.8% |
| Marguerite Humeau | 20¢ | 19.8% | -0.9 pts | $9.8K | 19.1% |
| Simeon Barclay | 20¢ | 19.5% | — | $11.4K | 22.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.3K has been traded on this event in total, $3.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.tate.org.uk/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,066 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,066 | $1.0K |
| Pure-Threat | Yes | 883 | $442 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 256 | $128 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | Yes | 112 | $56 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 100 | $50 |
| Necessary-Pentagon | Yes | 95 | $48 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 92 | $46 |
| Miniature-Drive | Yes | 81 | $40 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 71 | $36 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 57 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 09:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $78 |
| Oct 24, 09:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.2% | $48 |
| Oct 24, 09:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 07:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Artist A at 50.0%. Next is Artist B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/turner-prize-2026-winner-1786472350956?via=bro
$51.3K in total volume, with $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tate.org.uk/.
Artist A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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